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Vastese vs Jesina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Villanova M.
(Penalty)
50' Event
Bardini F.
60' Event
Esposito V.

AI Match Summary

Vastese in this Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vastese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Vastese
15%
Draws
12%
Jesina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vastese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vastese lately — more wins on the board than Jesina.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Vastese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Vastese Clean Sheet 20%
Jesina Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vastese Jesina
Matches Played 32 22
Wins 10 3
Draws 8 2
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Jesina
2:1
Oct 6, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Vastese
2:3
Feb 10, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Jesina
0:2
Oct 21, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Vastese
1:3
Feb 4, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Vastese
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vastese Compare

Top Goalscorer Bardini F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Esposito V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Jesina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vastese 36 / 100
Jesina 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vastese Jesina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jesina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 95% of 22 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Vastese found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Jesina lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vastese VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vastese

(Home)
11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0
Pineto
14 May
Vastese
1 : 2
Termoli
07 May
Pineto
2 : 1
Vastese
30 Apr
Vastese
1 : 0
Nuova Florida
23 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Vastese
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Jesina

(Away)
01 Mar
Jesina
0 : 1
Porto Sant'Elpidio
23 Feb
Matelica
3 : 0
Jesina
16 Feb
Jesina
1 : 1
Pineto
09 Feb
Vastese
2 : 1
Jesina
02 Feb
Jesina
0 : 1
Avezzano
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