Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vastogirardi vs Aquila Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Banegas P. E.

AI Match Summary

Aquila Calcio in this Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aquila Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Vastogirardi
20%
Draws
63%
Aquila Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aquila Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aquila Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Vastogirardi.
  • Aquila Calcio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Vastogirardi Clean Sheet 22%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vastogirardi Aquila Calcio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.8 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs Aquila Calcio
0:1
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Vastogirardi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vastogirardi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Aquila Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Banegas P. E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vastogirardi 10 / 100
Aquila Calcio 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vastogirardi Aquila Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquila Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vastogirardi found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Aquila Calcio has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Vastogirardi remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aquila Calcio
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vastogirardi

(Home)
05 May
Roma City
4 : 2
Vastogirardi
28 Apr
Vastogirardi
1 : 4
Tivoli Calcio
21 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 2
Vastogirardi
14 Apr
Vastogirardi
0 : 1
Aquila Calcio
07 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
3 : 1
Vastogirardi
Page 1 of 6

Aquila Calcio

(Away)
04 Oct
Pietralunga
0 : 3
Aquila Calcio
27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0
Teramo
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2
Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
12 Sept
Fossombrone
0 : 4
Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campobasso 34 20 10 4 55:29 70
2 Aquila Calcio 34 20 8 6 40:22 68
3 Avezzano 34 17 8 9 50:33 59
4 Sambenedettese 34 15 13 6 57:36 58
5 Roma City 34 14 10 10 56:37 52
6 Atletico Ascoli 34 12 14 8 39:33 50
7 Vigor Senigallia 34 13 10 11 57:50 49
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 12 10 35:34 48
9 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 12 11 37:38 45
10 Termoli 34 11 10 13 30:36 43
11 Fossombrone 34 8 17 9 28:28 41
12 AS Sora 34 10 11 13 37:37 41
13 Real Monterotondo 34 12 5 17 42:60 41
14 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 7 17 38:55 37
15 United Riccione 34 10 7 17 48:51 37
16 Fano 34 6 14 14 35:49 32
17 Vastogirardi 34 7 8 19 26:51 29
18 Matese 34 6 8 20 20:51 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Out)