Sport Picks
Vastogirardi vs Castelnuovo Vomano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2021/2022 
Match Events
50'
50'
Ruggieri S.
(Penalty)
58'
58'
Emili L.
(Penalty)
86'
86'
Sparvoli L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Castelnuovo Vomano at 1.2 per game, Vastogirardi at 0.88.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Vastogirardi Clean Sheet 17%
Castelnuovo Vomano Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vastogirardi | Castelnuovo Vomano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 17 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 29, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs Castelnuovo Vomano
2:0
May 22, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs Castelnuovo Vomano
1:1
Feb 9, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Castelnuovo Vomano vs Vastogirardi
1:2
Nov 3, 2021 Coppa Italia Serie D
Castelnuovo Vomano vs Vastogirardi
3:0
Jun 11, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs Castelnuovo Vomano
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vastogirardi 36 / 100
Castelnuovo Vomano 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vastogirardi Castelnuovo Vomano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castelnuovo Vomano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Castelnuovo Vomano let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Vastogirardi's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Vastogirardi stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vastogirardi VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Vastogirardi
(Home) 05 May
Roma City
4 : 2 Vastogirardi
28 Apr
Vastogirardi
1 : 4 Tivoli Calcio
21 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 2 Vastogirardi
14 Apr
Vastogirardi
0 : 1 Aquila Calcio
07 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
3 : 1 Vastogirardi
Page 1 of 7
28 Apr
Vastogirardi
1 : 4 Tivoli Calcio
14 Apr
Vastogirardi
0 : 1 Aquila Calcio
28 Mar
Vastogirardi
1 : 0 Matese
17 Mar
Vastogirardi
1 : 1 Termoli
03 Mar
Vastogirardi
1 : 0 United Riccione
Page 1 of 4
Castelnuovo Vomano
(Away) 29 May
Vastogirardi
2 : 0 Castelnuovo Vomano
22 May
Vastogirardi
1 : 1 Castelnuovo Vomano
15 May
Castelnuovo Vomano
1 : 2 Montegiorgio
11 May
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1 Castelnuovo Vomano
08 May
Castelnuovo Vomano
1 : 1 US Tolentino
Page 1 of 6
29 May
Vastogirardi
2 : 0 Castelnuovo Vomano
22 May
Vastogirardi
1 : 1 Castelnuovo Vomano
11 May
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1 Castelnuovo Vomano
24 Apr
Nereto
0 : 1 Castelnuovo Vomano
10 Apr
Roma City
1 : 0 Castelnuovo Vomano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Recanatese | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 54:33 | 59 |
| 3 | US Tolentino | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 42:30 | 56 |
| 4 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 41:36 | 55 |
| 5 | Vastese | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 44:32 | 53 |
| 6 | Pineto | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Roma City | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 38:38 | 49 |
| 9 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 45:41 | 49 |
| 10 | Montegiorgio | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 38:36 | 49 |
| 11 | Porto D'Ascoli | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41:39 | 49 |
| 12 | Matese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 44:41 | 49 |
| 13 | Fano | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:39 | 48 |
| 14 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48:51 | 46 |
| 15 | Castelnuovo Vomano | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 49:51 | 44 |
| 16 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36:36 | 41 |
| 17 | Nereto | 34 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 23:80 | 12 |
| 18 | Alto Casertano | 34 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 21:81 | 7 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2021/2022 (Play Out)
