Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vastogirardi vs Porto D'Ascoli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Vastogirardi
30%
Draws
35%
Porto D'Ascoli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Vastogirardi have won more games recently than Porto D'Ascoli.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Vastogirardi Clean Sheet 17%
Porto D'Ascoli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vastogirardi Porto D'Ascoli
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 13
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.81 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs Porto D'Ascoli
0:0
Oct 16, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Porto D'Ascoli vs Vastogirardi
0:0
May 8, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs Porto D'Ascoli
2:2
Dec 12, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Porto D'Ascoli vs Vastogirardi
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vastogirardi 36 / 100
Porto D'Ascoli 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vastogirardi Porto D'Ascoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto D'Ascoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto D'Ascoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Attacking prowess: Vastogirardi scored in 57% of their last 37 outings.

Recent resilience: Vastogirardi stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vastogirardi VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vastogirardi

(Home)
05 May
Roma City
4 : 2
Vastogirardi
28 Apr
Vastogirardi
1 : 4
Tivoli Calcio
21 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 2
Vastogirardi
14 Apr
Vastogirardi
0 : 1
Aquila Calcio
07 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
3 : 1
Vastogirardi
Page 1 of 8

Porto D'Ascoli

(Away)
07 May
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 1
Porto D'Ascoli
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2
US Tolentino
23 Apr
Pineto
2 : 2
Porto D'Ascoli
16 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1
Nuova Florida
06 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0
Porto D'Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pineto 34 21 9 4 50:21 72
2 Vigor Senigallia 34 20 7 7 52:34 67
3 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 56:41 62
4 Fano 34 18 6 10 45:34 60
5 Cynthialbalonga 34 13 13 8 32:23 52
6 Matese 34 12 11 11 44:38 47
7 Sambenedettese 34 13 8 13 39:37 46
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 10 12 29:27 46
9 Porto D'Ascoli 34 10 15 9 28:27 45
10 Vastogirardi 34 10 13 11 30:31 42
11 Nuova Florida 34 11 9 14 33:44 42
12 Avezzano 34 11 7 16 35:41 40
13 Roma City 34 9 10 15 29:42 37
14 Vastese 34 8 12 14 37:43 36
15 Termoli 34 5 19 10 25:34 34
16 Notaresco Calcio 34 6 13 15 23:41 31
17 Montegiorgio 34 7 10 17 21:34 31
18 US Tolentino 34 7 10 17 25:41 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)