Sport Picks
Vastogirardi vs Vigor Senigallia
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 
Match Events
61'
61'
Scheffer M.
71'
71'
Baldini M.
90'
90'
Vrioni A.
AI Match Summary
Vigor Senigallia in this Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vigor Senigallia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vigor Senigallia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Vigor Senigallia lately — more wins on the board than Vastogirardi.
- Win probability leans Vigor Senigallia's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Vastogirardi Clean Sheet 19%
Vigor Senigallia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vastogirardi | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 17 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Vastogirardi
0:2
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs Vigor Senigallia
0:3
Apr 16, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs Vigor Senigallia
1:1
Dec 4, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Vastogirardi
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vastogirardi Compare
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Vigor Senigallia Compare
Top Goalscorer Scheffer M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Baldini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vastogirardi 24 / 100
Vigor Senigallia 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vastogirardi Vigor Senigallia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vigor Senigallia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Vigor Senigallia conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Vastogirardi scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Vastogirardi has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Vigor Senigallia
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Vastogirardi
(Home) 05 May
Roma City
4 : 2 Vastogirardi
28 Apr
Vastogirardi
1 : 4 Tivoli Calcio
21 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 2 Vastogirardi
14 Apr
Vastogirardi
0 : 1 Aquila Calcio
07 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
3 : 1 Vastogirardi
Page 1 of 6
28 Apr
Vastogirardi
1 : 4 Tivoli Calcio
14 Apr
Vastogirardi
0 : 1 Aquila Calcio
28 Mar
Vastogirardi
1 : 0 Matese
17 Mar
Vastogirardi
1 : 1 Termoli
03 Mar
Vastogirardi
1 : 0 United Riccione
Page 1 of 3
Vigor Senigallia
(Away) 04 Oct
Teramo
6 : 4 Vigor Senigallia
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0 Fossombrone
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0 Giulianova
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Teramo
6 : 4 Vigor Senigallia
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5 Vigor Senigallia
03 May
Unipomezia
3 : 3 Vigor Senigallia
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Campobasso | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 55:29 | 70 |
| 2 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 40:22 | 68 |
| 3 | Avezzano | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 50:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 57:36 | 58 |
| 5 | Roma City | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:37 | 52 |
| 6 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 39:33 | 50 |
| 7 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57:50 | 49 |
| 8 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 35:34 | 48 |
| 9 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 37:38 | 45 |
| 10 | Termoli | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 30:36 | 43 |
| 11 | Fossombrone | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 28:28 | 41 |
| 12 | AS Sora | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 37:37 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Monterotondo | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 42:60 | 41 |
| 14 | Tivoli Calcio | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:55 | 37 |
| 15 | United Riccione | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 48:51 | 37 |
| 16 | Fano | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 35:49 | 32 |
| 17 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26:51 | 29 |
| 18 | Matese | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 20:51 | 26 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Out)
