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Vatanspor vs Aarhus Fremad

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vatanspor play Aarhus Fremad in the Landspokal Cup 2024/2025. Aarhus Fremad are favorites here. Recently, Vatanspor averaged 1 goals scored and 3.67 conceded. Aarhus Fremad averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, Vatanspor won 0, Aarhus Fremad won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 7, 2024 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Vatanspor and 1.36 for Aarhus Fremad. This points to a Aarhus Fremad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Vatanspor
28%
Draws
60%
Aarhus Fremad
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Aarhus Fremad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Vatanspor picked up more points recently compared to Aarhus Fremad.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Vatanspor Clean Sheet 18%
Aarhus Fremad Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vatanspor Aarhus Fremad
Matches Played 9 31
Wins 1 10
Draws 0 11
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1 1.81
Goals Conceded 3.67 1.35

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2024 Betano Pokalen
Vatanspor vs Aarhus Fremad
0:2
Sep 8, 2020 Betano Pokalen
Vatanspor vs Aarhus Fremad
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vatanspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Aarhus Fremad Compare

Top Goalscorer Callo G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stage W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vatanspor 14 / 100
Aarhus Fremad 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vatanspor Aarhus Fremad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aarhus Fremad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Aarhus Fremad & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +200%
25.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vatanspor attacking → ← attacking Aarhus Fremad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vatanspor scored in 78% of their last 9 games.

Aarhus Fremad let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Vatanspor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Aarhus Fremad lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 41
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13