Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vatanspor vs Aarhus

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Haugen S.
17' Event
Haugen S.
36' Event
Bisseck Y.

AI Match Summary

Aarhus in this Landspokal Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 0-8. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Vatanspor
20%
Draws
36%
Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vatanspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Aarhus have won more games recently than Vatanspor.
  • Win probability leans Aarhus's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Aarhus arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aarhus, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Vatanspor Clean Sheet 13%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vatanspor Aarhus
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 0 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.93
Goals Conceded 3.17 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2022 Betano Pokalen
Vatanspor vs Aarhus
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vatanspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Aarhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Haugen S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Brandhof F.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vatanspor 14 / 100
Aarhus 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vatanspor Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aarhus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aarhus conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Vatanspor found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (12 games).

Vatanspor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vatanspor VS Aarhus
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.67 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vatanspor

(Home)
16 Sept
Vatanspor
0 : 3
Nordsjaelland
25 Aug
Vatanspor
2 : 1
Aalborg
05 Aug
Vatanspor
4 : 1
Norresundby
07 Aug
Vatanspor
0 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
01 Sept
Vatanspor
0 : 8
Aarhus
Page 1 of 3

Aarhus

(Away)
20 Sept
Horsens
2 : 2
Aarhus
16 Sept
Skjold
1 : 6
Aarhus
13 Sept
Nordsjaelland
2 : 0
Aarhus
05 Sept
Aarhus
2 : 2
Silkeborg
02 Sept
Aarhus
0 : 2
Midtjylland
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Varde 4
Tarup-Paarup 3
AIA-Tranbjerg 0
Aarhus Fremad 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
Culpa 2
Maribo BK 0
Boldklubben 1893 1
Roskilde 3
Tune 1
Tarnby FF 5
Fremad Amager 1
Hillerod 0
Mosede 0
Kastrup 3
FB 2
AB Copenhagen 4
Vatanspor 2
Lyseng 0
TBD -
Aarhus -
Dragor 0
BSF 5
KFUM BK Kobenhavn 1
Karlslunde 3
Saby 1
BK Frem 3
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Hedensted 1
Dalum IF 0
Norresundby 1
Thisted FC 5
Hvidovre IF 2
Helsingor 4
TBD -
Lyngby -
Aabenraa 1
SfB-Oure 2
Vejgaard 0
Hobro 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Kjellerup 1
Young Boys FD 4
Odder 2
Brabrand 3
Boldklubben 1909 0
Marienlyst 1
OKS Odense 1
Vejle 5
B73 Slagelse 0
Horsholm-Usserod 4
Tuse IF 2
Bornholm 1
Oster Hornum 0
Ringkobing 8
TBD -
Horsens -
Haarby 0
Naesby 3
Farso Ullits 1
Skive 4
Hellerup 0
Nykobing 1
TBD -
Odense -
Munkebo BK 0
Kerteminde BK 1
Skovshoved 0
Koge 4
Kolding IF 2
Esbjerg 0
Slagelse 0
Sonderjyske 5
Frederikshavn 3
ASA Aarhus 0
VSK Aarhus 1
Vendsyssel FF 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Randers FC -
Jyllinge 3
BK Union 0
Ringsted 0
Naestved IF 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Klitmoller 3
Jammerbugt 0
Saedding/Guldager IF 3
Marstal/Rise 2
Give Fremad 0
Middelfart 7
Broager UI 0
Fredericia 8
Boldklubben 1973 Herlev 1
Nakskov 5
Herlev 0
Vanlose 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aalborg -
LUIF 0
Bronshoj 6
Solrod FC 0
Ishoj IF 3
Vejlby Risskov 0
Viby 2
TBD -
Viborg -
Allerod 3
Roskilde KFUM 1
Avarta 1
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
1/32-finals
Varde 0
Aarhus Fremad 2
TBD -
Brondby -
Culpa 0
Roskilde 3
Tarnby FF 1
Fremad Amager 2
Kastrup 1
AB Copenhagen 2
Vatanspor 0
Aarhus 8
BSF 1
Karlslunde 0
BK Frem 0
Nordsjaelland 1
Hedensted 1
Thisted FC 2
Helsingor 2
Lyngby 0
SfB-Oure 0
Hobro 3
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Young Boys FD 0
Brabrand 1
Marienlyst 0
Vejle 3
Horsholm-Usserod 5
Tuse IF 0
Ringkobing 1
Horsens 2
Naesby 3
Skive 2
Nykobing 2
Odense 1
Kerteminde BK 1
Koge 2
Kolding IF 0
Sonderjyske 2
Frederikshavn 2
Vendsyssel FF 7
TBD -
Randers FC -
Jyllinge 0
Naestved IF 5
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Klitmoller 0
Saedding/Guldager IF 1
Middelfart 1
Fredericia 0
Nakskov 0
Vanlose 4
TBD -
Aalborg -
Bronshoj 1
Ishoj IF 5
Viby 0
Viborg 7
Allerod 0
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 3
TBD -
Midtjylland -
1/16-finals
Aarhus Fremad 4
Brondby 0
Roskilde 1
Fremad Amager 2
AB Copenhagen 0
Aarhus 3
BSF 0
Nordsjaelland 5
Thisted FC 2
Helsingor 1
Hobro 1
FC Copenhagen 2
Brabrand 0
Vejle 3
Horsholm-Usserod 1
Horsens 2
Naesby 1
Nykobing 2
Koge 1
Sonderjyske 4
Vendsyssel FF 0
Randers FC 2
Naestved IF 0
Silkeborg 3
Saedding/Guldager IF 0
Middelfart 6
Vanlose 1
Aalborg 3
Ishoj IF 2
Viborg 3
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 0
Midtjylland 6
1/8-finals
Aarhus Fremad 3
Fremad Amager 1
Aarhus 0
Nordsjaelland 2
Thisted FC 1
FC Copenhagen 3
Vejle 1
Horsens 0
Nykobing 1
Sonderjyske 2
Randers FC 1
Silkeborg 3
Middelfart 1
Aalborg 2
Viborg 3
Midtjylland 1
Quarter-finals
Aarhus Fremad 1
Nordsjaelland 7
FC Copenhagen 2
Vejle 0
Sonderjyske 2
Silkeborg 5
Aalborg 2
Viborg 1
Semi-finals
Nordsjaelland 6
FC Copenhagen 7
Silkeborg 2
Aalborg 5
Final
FC Copenhagen 1
Aalborg 0