Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vatnaliljur vs Berserkir

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Olason B.
43' Event
Gudnason E.
51' Event
Hjalmarsson F.

AI Match Summary

Vatnaliljur in this Icelandic Cup 2015 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vatnaliljur
15%
Draws
85%
Berserkir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Berserkir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vatnaliljur haven't matched Berserkir's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Berserkir's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Berserkir arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vatnaliljur, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
Vatnaliljur Clean Sheet 10%
Berserkir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vatnaliljur Berserkir
Matches Played 12 21
Wins 3 9
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.17 3.05
Goals Conceded 5.25 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2015 Icelandic Cup
Vatnaliljur vs Berserkir
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vatnaliljur Compare

Top Goalscorer Olason B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hjalmarsson F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Berserkir Compare

Top Goalscorer Gudnason E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vatnaliljur 10 / 100
Berserkir 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vatnaliljur Berserkir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berserkir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Berserkir conceded in 90% of 21 recent games.

Vatnaliljur found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (12 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Berserkir's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vatnaliljur VS Berserkir
0.75 Goals Scored 3.63
5.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Vatnaliljur

(Home)
25 Apr
Vatnaliljur
2 : 3
IH Hafnarfjordur
06 Jun
Vatnaliljur
0 : 12
Afturelding
14 Apr
Ulfarnir
6 : 1
Vatnaliljur
12 Apr
Grotta
9 : 0
Vatnaliljur
29 Apr
Fylkir
7 : 0
Vatnaliljur
Page 1 of 3

Berserkir

(Away)
24 Apr
Berserkir
5 : 6
KFS
08 Jun
IH Hafnarfjordur
3 : 1
Berserkir
17 Apr
KA Asvellir
4 : 2
Berserkir
13 Apr
Hordur Isafjordur
1 : 5
Berserkir
12 Apr
Berserkir
1 : 5
Reynir
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Nokkvi 0
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Kria 2
Vidir 1
KFS 0
Alftanes 2
KFG Gardabaer 5
Hordur Isafjordur 0
Kongarnir 0
Arborg 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Olafsvik -
TBD -
TBD -
Haukar -
Tindastoll -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sindri 4
Einherji 2
Hrafnkell Fr. 0
Hottur 16
Vatnaliljur 4
Midas 3
Armann 2
Berserkir 4
Skinandi 6
KFR 2
TBD -
Afturelding -
Fjardabyggd -
TBD -
Huginn 0
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Orninn 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Hamar 0
Kari 7
Selfoss -
TBD -
Isbjorninn 0
Reynir 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Grotta -
Aegir 6
Stal-Ulfur 2
SR Reykjavik 0
KV Reykjavik 3
Grindavik -
TBD -
KB Breidholt 2
Throttur Vogar 4
Magni 4
Hamrarnir 0
Fjallabyggd 0
Volsungur 2
Kopavogur -
TBD -
Snaefell 1
KH Hlidarendi 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Fylkir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Augnablik 7
Hviti 2
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Njardvik 8
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stjarnan -
Throttur -
TBD -
Gnupverjar 1
Vaengirs 3
Skallagrimur 11
Stokkseyri 0
TBD -
Bolungarvik -
Lettir 4
Ellidi 0
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/32-finals
KA Akureyri 6
Dalvik/Reynir 0
Kria 0
Alftanes 1
KFG Gardabaer 2
Arborg 1
TBD -
Breidablik -
Olafsvik 2
Haukar 1
Tindastoll 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Sindri 0
Hottur 1
Vatnaliljur 2
Berserkir 1
Skinandi 0
Afturelding 2
Fjardabyggd 2
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Orninn 2
Kari 4
Selfoss 2
Reynir 0
TBD -
Valur -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fram 2
Grotta 0
Aegir 0
KV Reykjavik 3
Grindavik 1
Throttur Vogar 0
Magni 1
Volsungur 2
Kopavogur 3
KH Hlidarendi 0
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Fylkir -
TBD -
Augnablik 1
Njardvik 4
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Stjarnan -
Throttur 3
Vaengirs 0
Skallagrimur 0
Bolungarvik 6
Lettir 1
IR Reykjavik 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/16-finals
KA Akureyri 4
Alftanes 0
KFG Gardabaer 1
Breidablik 3
Olafsvik 3
Thor Akureyri 2
Akranes 0
Fjolnir 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Hottur 0
Vatnaliljur 0
Afturelding 3
Fjardabyggd 4
Kari 0
Selfoss 0
Valur 4
KR Reykjavik 5
Keflavik 0
Fram 1
KV Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 4
Volsungur 3
Kopavogur 1
Hafnarfjordur 2
Fylkir 3
Njardvik 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Stjarnan 2
Throttur 4
Bolungarvik 1
Lettir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6
1/8-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Breidablik 0
Olafsvik 0
Fjolnir 4
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Afturelding 0
Fjardabyggd 0
Valur 4
KR Reykjavik 7
KV Reykjavik 1
Grindavik 1
Hafnarfjordur 2
Fylkir 3
Stjarnan 0
Throttur 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Quarter-finals
KA Akureyri 2
Fjolnir 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Valur 2
KR Reykjavik 2
Hafnarfjordur 1
Fylkir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Semi-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Valur 2
KR Reykjavik 4
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Final
Valur 2
KR Reykjavik 0