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Vatolakkos vs Kastoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Vatolakkos Logo

Vatolakkos

0 - 1
FT
Kastoria Logo

Kastoria

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 game between Vatolakkos and Kastoria finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kastoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vatolakkos
25%
Draws
35%
Kastoria
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Vatolakkos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kastoria come out ahead of Vatolakkos on wins alone.
  • Model gives Vatolakkos a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
Vatolakkos Clean Sheet 20%
Kastoria Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vatolakkos Kastoria
Matches Played 2 29
Wins 0 8
Draws 0 5
Losses 2 16
Goals Scored 0 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Vatolakkos vs Kastoria
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vatolakkos 40 / 100
Kastoria 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vatolakkos Kastoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vatolakkos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kastoria let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Kastoria lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Vatolakkos found the back of the net in 0% of recent matches (2 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Vatolakkos VS Kastoria
0 Goals Scored 0.63
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.25
33% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vatolakkos

(Home)
04 Oct
Veria
4 : 0
Vatolakkos
27 Sept
Vatolakkos
0 : 1
Kastoria

Kastoria

(Away)
04 Oct
Kastoria
0 : 1
Makedonikos Siatista
27 Sept
Vatolakkos
0 : 1
Kastoria
28 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 4
Svoronos FC
24 Apr
Eordaikos
2 : 1
Kastoria
20 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 2
Asteras Petriti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eordaikos 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
2 Makedonikos Siatista 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Anagennisi Arta 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Veria 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
5 Alexandros Florinas 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
6 Kastoria 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
7 Doxa Mascholouriou 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
8 Giannina 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
9 Thyella Katsikas 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
10 Naousa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
11 Vatolakkos 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 (Losers stage)