Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vaxjo Norra vs Solvesborgs

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Stjernberg W.
38' Event
Mansson K.
90' Event

AI Match Summary

Solvesborgs in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Solvesborgs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Vaxjo Norra
15%
Draws
59%
Solvesborgs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Solvesborgs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Solvesborgs average 1.86 goals a game right now, well clear of Vaxjo Norra's 1.83.
  • Model gives Solvesborgs a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Vaxjo Norra Clean Sheet 14%
Solvesborgs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaxjo Norra Solvesborgs
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.83 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs Solvesborgs
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Solvesborgs vs Vaxjo Norra
2:3
Aug 30, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Solvesborgs vs Vaxjo Norra
2:2
May 16, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs Solvesborgs
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaxjo Norra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Solvesborgs Compare

Top Goalscorer Stjernberg W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mansson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaxjo Norra 19 / 100
Solvesborgs 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaxjo Norra Solvesborgs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Solvesborgs Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Vaxjo Norra scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Solvesborgs let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Vaxjo Norra remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vaxjo Norra VS Solvesborgs
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaxjo Norra

(Home)
22 Aug
Karlskrona
5 : 0
Vaxjo Norra
19 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 3
Varnamo
16 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
2 : 0
Staffanstorp United
09 Aug
IFK Trelleborg
4 : 0
Vaxjo Norra
26 Jun
IFK Berga
3 : 1
Vaxjo Norra
Page 1 of 6

Solvesborgs

(Away)
21 Aug
Solvesborgs
2 : 1
IFK Karlshamn
14 Aug
Solvesborgs
1 : 2
Nosaby IF
07 Aug
Osterlen FF
4 : 1
Solvesborgs
27 Jun
Solvesborgs
1 : 0
Oskarshamn
18 Jun
Solvesborgs
1 : 1
Rappe GOIF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 18 13 3 2 47:18 42
2 Oskarshamn 18 11 3 4 45:20 36
3 IFK Trelleborg 18 10 5 3 34:15 35
4 IFK Berga 18 9 4 5 38:24 31
5 Nosaby IF 18 8 5 5 35:30 29
6 Linero IF 18 9 1 8 34:33 28
7 Vaxjo Norra 17 7 5 5 22:26 26
8 Osterlen FF 18 7 4 7 25:26 25
9 Staffanstorp United 18 4 7 7 28:32 19
10 Solvesborgs 17 6 1 10 26:30 19
11 Lilla Torg 18 4 7 7 19:30 19
12 Torns 18 6 0 12 25:51 18
13 Rappe GOIF 18 3 5 10 18:36 14
14 IFK Karlshamn 18 2 2 14 18:43 8
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)