Sport Picks
Vecindario vs Estrella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 12 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
Estrella in this Tercera Division - Group 12 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estrella.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vecindario
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Estrella have won more games recently than Vecindario.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Vecindario taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Estrella have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Vecindario Clean Sheet 20%
Estrella Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vecindario | Estrella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 39 |
| Wins | 14 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Vecindario vs Estrella
1:0
Sep 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Vecindario
2:1
Apr 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Vecindario vs Estrella
1:2
Nov 16, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Vecindario
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vecindario 42 / 100
Estrella 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vecindario Estrella
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vecindario scored in 72% of their last 36 games.
Defensive concern: Estrella conceded in 64% of 39 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.75 goals.
Solid form: Vecindario remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Estrella
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Vecindario
(Home) 11 May
UD Realejos
1 : 0 Vecindario
01 May
Vecindario
1 : 1 Atletico Victoria
27 Apr
Ibarra
0 : 0 Vecindario
16 Apr
Vecindario
1 : 0 Villa Santa Brigida
12 Apr
Lanzarote
1 : 2 Vecindario
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01 May
Vecindario
1 : 1 Atletico Victoria
16 Apr
Vecindario
1 : 0 Villa Santa Brigida
28 Mar
Vecindario
1 : 2 Union Viera
16 Mar
Vecindario
1 : 3 Atletico Granadilla
02 Mar
Vecindario
6 : 0 Vera CD
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Estrella
(Away) 04 Oct
UD San Fernando
3 : 0 Estrella
25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1 Las Palmas C
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2 Estrella
12 Sept
Estrella
3 : 1 Villaverde Norte
11 May
Estrella
2 : 1 Herbania
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04 Oct
UD San Fernando
3 : 0 Estrella
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2 Estrella
04 May
San Bartolome
1 : 0 Estrella
17 Apr
CD Buzanada
1 : 1 Estrella
06 Apr
Mensajero
3 : 2 Estrella
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas B | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 90:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Atletico Granadilla | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 64:33 | 80 |
| 3 | Estrella | 38 | 24 | 5 | 9 | 66:30 | 77 |
| 4 | Union Viera | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 82:49 | 75 |
| 5 | Mensajero | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 80:37 | 74 |
| 6 | Tenerife B | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 63:40 | 63 |
| 7 | Vecindario | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 49:38 | 60 |
| 8 | Corralejo | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 43:41 | 56 |
| 9 | Las Zocas | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 42:56 | 56 |
| 10 | Villa Santa Brigida | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 55:59 | 54 |
| 11 | Telde | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 47:56 | 54 |
| 12 | Ibarra | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 52:45 | 52 |
| 13 | SD Tenisca | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 46:62 | 51 |
| 14 | Lanzarote | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 59:58 | 49 |
| 15 | Atletico Victoria | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 41:49 | 45 |
| 16 | Vera CD | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 43:75 | 42 |
| 17 | San Isidro | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 38:57 | 33 |
| 18 | San Pedro Martir | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 21:43 | 24 |
| 19 | Tijarafe | 38 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 31:92 | 18 |
| 20 | UD Gomera | 38 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 30:95 | 14 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
