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Vedeggio vs Lugano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Castro Espinosa B. D.
9' Event
Dos Santos D.
11' Event
Moncada D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-10. This leg finished 1-10.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Vedeggio
20%
Draws
57%
Lugano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lugano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lugano lately — more wins on the board than Vedeggio.
  • Win probability leans Lugano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Lugano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lugano, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Vedeggio Clean Sheet 10%
Lugano Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vedeggio Lugano
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 2 21
Draws 1 5
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 0.83 2.4
Goals Conceded 2.83 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Swiss Cup
Vedeggio vs Lugano
1:10

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vedeggio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Lugano Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro Espinosa B. D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Dos Santos D.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vedeggio 10 / 100
Lugano 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vedeggio Lugano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 11.00 goals.

Lugano let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Vedeggio scored in 50% of their last 6 games.

Recent resilience: Vedeggio stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vedeggio VS Lugano
1 Goals Scored 2.75
10 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vedeggio

(Home)
16 Aug
Vedeggio
1 : 10
Lugano
01 Feb
Vedeggio
1 : 0
Mendrisio
21 Jul
Vedeggio
0 : 0
Bellinzona
23 Aug
Vedeggio
0 : 2
Grasshoppers
16 Sept
Vedeggio
0 : 5
Grasshoppers
Page 1 of 2

Lugano

(Away)
02 Oct
Lugano
1 : 3
Verona
20 Sept
Lausanne
0 : 4
Lugano
16 Sept
Lugano
4 : 1
St. Gallen
12 Sept
Lugano
2 : 2
Young Boys
06 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
Lugano
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Aesch 1
Langenthal 5
Meyrin 0
Xamax 1
FC Interlaken 1
Bulle 4
Rebstein 2
Wil 6
Koniz 3
Munsingen 1
Wiesendangen 0
Bruhl SG 6
CS Italien 1
Lausanne Ouchy 8
Collex-Bossy 0
Etoile-Carouge 2
Kaufdorf 0
Old Boys 5
Terre Sainte 0
Yverdon 5
Amical Saint-Prex 1
Stade Nyonnais 3
Courtetelle 1
Basel 6
Rotkreuz 4
Bellinzona 1
Bavois 0
Servette 7
Rorschach 2
Schaffhausen 4
FC Saxon-Sports 0
Thun 6
Biel 3
Aarau 4
Tuggen 1
Zurich 2
Young Fellows Juventus 1
Rapperswil-Jona 6
Thalwil 0
St. Gallen 3
Zurich City SC 1
Winterthur 3
Buochs 0
Luzern 3
Mutschellen 3
FC Winkeln SG 4
Kosova Neuchatel 0
Lausanne 6
Courrendlin-Courroux 0
Grenchen 1
Regensdorf 0
Grasshoppers 5
Pully 2
Genolier-Begnins 0
Vedeggio 1
Lugano 10
Taverne 2
Brunnen 1
Liestal 0
Young Boys 4
Cham 2
Kriens 0
Kerzers 1
Sion 6
1/16-finals
Langenthal -
Xamax -
Bulle -
Wil -
Koniz -
Bruhl SG -
Lausanne Ouchy -
Etoile-Carouge -
Old Boys -
Yverdon -
Stade Nyonnais -
Basel -
Rotkreuz -
Servette -
Schaffhausen -
Thun -
Aarau -
Zurich -
Rapperswil-Jona -
St. Gallen -
Winterthur -
Luzern -
FC Winkeln SG -
Lausanne -
Grenchen -
Grasshoppers -
Pully -
Lugano -
Taverne -
Young Boys -
Cham -
Sion -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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