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Vedeggio vs Lugano

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Swiss Cup. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Lugano have shipped 0.91 goals a game lately, while Vedeggio have conceded 1.4 and scored 0.8. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 0.92 vs 1.36, favoring Lugano. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Vedeggio
15%
Draws
58%
Lugano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lugano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lugano lately — more wins on the board than Vedeggio.
  • Win probability leans Lugano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Lugano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Vedeggio Clean Sheet 18%
Lugano Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vedeggio Lugano
Matches Played 5 32
Wins 2 19
Draws 1 8
Losses 2 5
Goals Scored 0.8 2
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vedeggio 10 / 100
Lugano 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vedeggio Lugano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lugano let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Vedeggio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vedeggio scored in 40% of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vedeggio VS Lugano
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vedeggio

(Home)
01 Feb
Vedeggio
1 : 0
Mendrisio
21 Jul
Vedeggio
0 : 0
Bellinzona
23 Aug
Vedeggio
0 : 2
Grasshoppers
16 Sept
Vedeggio
0 : 5
Grasshoppers
14 Aug
Losone
0 : 3
Vedeggio

Lugano

(Away)
09 Aug
Lugano
5 : 0
Zurich
06 Aug
Lugano
2 : 0
NSI Runavik
02 Aug
Grasshoppers
1 : 4
Lugano
29 Jul
Dukagjini
1 : 5
Lugano
26 Jul
Lugano
2 : 1
Vaduz
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Interlaken -
Bulle -
Courrendlin-Courroux -
Grenchen -
Kaufdorf -
Old Boys -
Koniz -
Munsingen -
FC Aesch -
Langenthal -
Biel -
Aarau -
Liestal -
Young Boys -
Courtetelle -
Basel -
FC Saxon-Sports -
Thun -
Kerzers -
Sion -
Wiesendangen -
Bruhl SG -
Rorschach -
Schaffhausen -
Mutschellen -
FC Winkeln SG -
Thalwil -
St. Gallen -
Zurich City SC -
Winterthur -
Rebstein -
Wil -
Tuggen -
Zurich -
Young Fellows Juventus -
Rapperswil-Jona -
Regensdorf -
Grasshoppers -
Pully -
Genolier-Begnins -
Collex-Bossy -
Etoile-Carouge -
Terre Sainte -
Yverdon -
Meyrin -
Xamax -
Amical Saint-Prex -
Stade Nyonnais -
Bavois -
Servette -
CS Italien -
Lausanne Ouchy -
Kosova Neuchatel -
Lausanne -
Taverne -
Brunnen -
Rotkreuz -
Bellinzona -
Buochs -
Luzern -
Vedeggio -
Lugano -
Cham -
Kriens -
1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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