Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Yurtec Stadium Sendai

Vegalta Sendai

Sat, Apr 4, 2026

3 - 2

05:00 AM

Thespakusatsu Gunma

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Shimokawa T.

27'

Nishimura Y.

31'

Igarashi S.

Assist: Moraes M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Vegalta Sendai and Thespakusatsu Gunma finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vegalta Sendai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Vegalta Sendai

28%

Draws

22%

Thespakusatsu Gunma

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Vegalta Sendai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Vegalta Sendai carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Vegalta Sendai's way, sitting at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Vegalta Sendai Clean Sheet 14%

Thespakusatsu Gunma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vegalta Sendai	Thespakusatsu Gunma
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	24	13
Draws	1	2
Losses	5	16
Goals Scored	2	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 J2/J3 League

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Vegalta Sendai

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 4 - 4

1:3

Apr 4, 2026 J2/J3 League

Vegalta Sendai vs Thespakusatsu Gunma

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

3:2

Sep 7, 2024 J2 League

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Vegalta Sendai

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

May 11, 2024 J2 League

Vegalta Sendai vs Thespakusatsu Gunma

Possession: 43% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Aug 13, 2023 J2 League

Vegalta Sendai vs Thespakusatsu Gunma

Possession: 54% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vegalta Sendai Compare

Top Goalscorer Igarashi S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Iwabuchi H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Thespakusatsu Gunma Compare

Top Goalscorer Shimokawa T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Tagashira R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vegalta Sendai 48 / 100

Thespakusatsu Gunma 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vegalta Sendai Thespakusatsu Gunma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vegalta Sendai found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Thespakusatsu Gunma let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Vegalta Sendai went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vegalta Sendai VS Thespakusatsu Gunma

2 Goals Scored 2.13

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15