Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vegalta Sendai vs Toyama

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Yurtec Stadium Sendai, Sendai
Sat, Jun 6, 2026
2 - 1
05:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Nakada Y.
Assist: Kamada H.
41'
Iwabuchi H.
41'
Jung Woo-Young

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Vegalta Sendai
15%
Draws
28%
Toyama
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vegalta Sendai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vegalta Sendai come out ahead of Toyama on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vegalta Sendai's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Vegalta Sendai have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Toyama, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Vegalta Sendai Clean Sheet 18%
Toyama Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vegalta Sendai Toyama
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 22 18
Draws 1 1
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 J2/J3 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Toyama
2:1
Jul 5, 2025 J2 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Toyama
0:1
Jun 11, 2025 Emperors Cup
Vegalta Sendai vs Toyama
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 J2 League
Toyama vs Vegalta Sendai
0:1
Aug 14, 2019 Emperors Cup
Vegalta Sendai vs Toyama
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vegalta Sendai Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakada Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Toyama Compare

Top Goalscorer Fukazawa S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vegalta Sendai 36 / 100
Toyama 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vegalta Sendai Toyama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vegalta Sendai found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Toyama conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Toyama has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Vegalta Sendai VS Toyama
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vegalta Sendai

(Home)
08 Aug
Fujieda MYFC
2 : 0
Vegalta Sendai
15 Jul
Kashima Antlers
5 : 0
Vegalta Sendai
06 Jun
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1
Toyama
30 May
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 0
Kofu
23 May
Vegalta Sendai
0 : 3
Yokohama FC
Page 1 of 6

Toyama

(Away)
08 Aug
Vanraure
2 : 0
Toyama
06 Jun
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1
Toyama
30 May
Toyama
1 : 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
23 May
Nara Club
5 : 1
Toyama
17 May
Toyama
2 : 3
Tokushima
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Vegalta Sendai 1
Kofu 0
Toyama 1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0
Final
Vegalta Sendai 2
Toyama 1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2
Kofu 1