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Vejgaard vs Fredensborg

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Frederiksen J.
80' Event
Steffensen M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Vejgaard
15%
Draws
34%
Fredensborg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vejgaard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vejgaard lately — more wins on the board than Fredensborg.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Vejgaard taking it.
  • Regular 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Vejgaard Clean Sheet 68%
Fredensborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vejgaard Fredensborg
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.16 0.7
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Vejgaard vs Fredensborg
1:1
Mar 25, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Fredensborg vs Vejgaard
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vejgaard Compare

Top Goalscorer Steffensen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Fredensborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Frederiksen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vejgaard 50 / 100
Fredensborg 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vejgaard Fredensborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vejgaard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredensborg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Vejgaard scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Fredensborg registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vejgaard VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vejgaard

(Home)
04 Aug
Lyseng
3 : 2
Vejgaard
12 Jul
Vendsyssel FF
3 : 1
Vejgaard
13 Jun
Holbaek
1 : 0
Vejgaard
05 Jun
Vejgaard
2 : 0
Lyseng
30 May
Vejgaard
2 : 0
BK Frem
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Fredensborg

(Away)
05 Aug
Fredensborg
1 : 3
Hellerup
05 Sept
Fredensborg
1 : 2
Hellerup
08 Aug
Ringsted
0 : 1
Fredensborg
17 Jun
Naesby
2 : 1
Fredensborg
10 Jun
Fredensborg
2 : 2
FC Sydvest 05
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