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Vejgaard W vs Esbjerg W

Denmark Denmark

Danish Cup Women 2024/2025 Lars Bloch Briller Arena, Aalborg
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Match Events

2' Event
Lund A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Esbjerg W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vejgaard W
25%
Draws
35%
Esbjerg W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Vejgaard W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Esbjerg W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Esbjerg W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Esbjerg W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vejgaard W Clean Sheet 20%
Esbjerg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vejgaard W Esbjerg W
Matches Played 2 30
Wins 0 3
Draws 0 4
Losses 2 23
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 4 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2024 Danish Cup Women
Vejgaard W vs Esbjerg W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vejgaard W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Esbjerg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lund A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vejgaard W 31 / 100
Esbjerg W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vejgaard W Esbjerg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vejgaard W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esbjerg W let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Esbjerg W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Vejgaard W found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (2 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Esbjerg W
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vejgaard W

(Home)
01 Oct
Vejgaard W
2 : 7
ASA Aarhus W
09 Oct
Vejgaard W
0 : 1
Esbjerg W

Esbjerg W

(Away)
13 Sept
Esbjerg W
2 : 4
Aalborg W
05 Sept
Sundby W
2 : 1
Esbjerg W
30 Aug
Esbjerg W
0 : 3
Viborg W
23 Aug
Esbjerg W
1 : 2
Naestved HG W
15 Aug
Thisted FC W
3 : 3
Esbjerg W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Sundby W 0
FC Copenhagen W 1
Aalborg Freja W 3
ASA Aarhus W 2
Naestved HG W 0
Koge W 1
Dalum/Naesby W 0
Fortuna Hjorring W 6
Aarhus W 2
Odense W 1
Osterbro IF W 0
Brondby W 2
Vejgaard W 0
Esbjerg W 1
Nordsjaelland W 3
B93 W 0
Quarter-finals
FC Copenhagen W 4
Aalborg Freja W 3
Koge W 2
Fortuna Hjorring W 3
Aarhus W 0
Brondby W 1
Esbjerg W 1
Nordsjaelland W 3
Semi-finals
FC Copenhagen W 2
Fortuna Hjorring W 3
Brondby W 1
Nordsjaelland W 3
Final
Fortuna Hjorring W 1
Nordsjaelland W 0