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Velarde vs Bezana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024
Velarde Logo

Velarde

2 - 3
FT
Bezana Logo

Bezana

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ceballos A.
36' Event
Macias C.
38' Event
Zorrilla Reigadas A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 game between Velarde and Bezana finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bezana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Velarde
15%
Draws
67%
Bezana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bezana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Velarde haven't matched Bezana's recent run of results.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Bezana taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bezana have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Velarde Clean Sheet 15%
Bezana Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velarde Bezana
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 3 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs Bezana
2:3
Nov 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Velarde
2:0
Apr 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs Bezana
2:0
Dec 8, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Velarde
2:0
Mar 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs Bezana
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Velarde Compare

Top Goalscorer Macias C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Menaut B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Bezana Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceballos A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zorrilla Reigadas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velarde 10 / 100
Bezana 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velarde Bezana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bezana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bezana conceded in 60% of 35 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Velarde scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Velarde went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Velarde VS Bezana
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.33 Goals Conceded 1
33% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Velarde

(Home)
03 Oct
Velarde
0 : 1
Cayon CD
26 Sept
Guarnizo
3 : 1
Velarde
19 Sept
Velarde
1 : 4
Vimenor
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Velarde
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0
Naval Reinosa
Page 1 of 6

Bezana

(Away)
03 Oct
Bezana
1 : 0
Vimenor
27 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 2
Bezana
19 Sept
Bezana
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
05 Sept
Bezana
2 : 1
Atletico Albericia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UM Escobedo 34 21 5 8 58:30 68
2 CD Laredo 34 18 7 9 49:22 61
3 Torina 34 16 12 6 45:37 60
4 Atletico Albericia 34 17 7 10 54:37 58
5 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 43:32 57
6 CD Tropezon 34 15 11 8 49:38 56
7 Bezana 34 17 5 12 49:42 56
8 Castro 34 16 4 14 41:41 52
9 Guarnizo 34 13 9 12 37:31 48
10 CD Revilla 34 12 8 14 41:52 44
11 Naval Reinosa 34 9 16 9 39:37 43
12 CD Colindres 34 13 4 17 37:42 43
13 CD Siete Villas 34 11 9 14 50:48 42
14 UD Samano 34 11 8 15 40:44 41
15 Atletico Mineros 34 8 9 17 35:63 33
16 Solares 34 9 6 19 33:54 33
17 UC Cartes 34 8 7 19 32:50 31
18 Velarde 34 3 11 20 29:61 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 (Play Offs)