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Velarde vs CD Siete Villas

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Gonzalez V.
62' Event
Lopez M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 game between Velarde and CD Siete Villas finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Siete Villas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Velarde
15%
Draws
36%
CD Siete Villas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Velarde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • CD Siete Villas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Velarde Clean Sheet 19%
CD Siete Villas Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velarde CD Siete Villas
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 3 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.86 1
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 1.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs CD Siete Villas
0:2
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Siete Villas vs Velarde
2:1
Mar 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Siete Villas vs Velarde
0:0
Nov 3, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs CD Siete Villas
1:0
Jan 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs CD Siete Villas
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Velarde Compare

Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.43

CD Siete Villas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velarde 32 / 100
CD Siete Villas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velarde CD Siete Villas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Siete Villas conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

CD Siete Villas lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Velarde scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Velarde VS CD Siete Villas
0.6 Goals Scored 1.13
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.13
40% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Velarde

(Home)
26 Sept
Guarnizo
3 : 1
Velarde
19 Sept
Velarde
1 : 4
Vimenor
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Velarde
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0
Naval Reinosa
11 May
Velarde
0 : 3
Vimenor
Page 1 of 6

CD Siete Villas

(Away)
10 May
CD Siete Villas
3 : 1
CD Tropezon
04 May
Barreda Balompie
1 : 0
CD Siete Villas
27 Apr
CD Siete Villas
0 : 2
Torina
17 Apr
UD Samano
2 : 0
CD Siete Villas
13 Apr
CD Siete Villas
1 : 3
Gama
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UM Escobedo 34 21 5 8 58:30 68
2 CD Laredo 34 18 7 9 49:22 61
3 Torina 34 16 12 6 45:37 60
4 Atletico Albericia 34 17 7 10 54:37 58
5 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 43:32 57
6 CD Tropezon 34 15 11 8 49:38 56
7 Bezana 34 17 5 12 49:42 56
8 Castro 34 16 4 14 41:41 52
9 Guarnizo 34 13 9 12 37:31 48
10 CD Revilla 34 12 8 14 41:52 44
11 Naval Reinosa 34 9 16 9 39:37 43
12 CD Colindres 34 13 4 17 37:42 43
13 CD Siete Villas 34 11 9 14 50:48 42
14 UD Samano 34 11 8 15 40:44 41
15 Atletico Mineros 34 8 9 17 35:63 33
16 Solares 34 9 6 19 33:54 33
17 UC Cartes 34 8 7 19 32:50 31
18 Velarde 34 3 11 20 29:61 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 (Play Offs)