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Velarde vs Solares

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024
Velarde Logo

Velarde

4 - 1
FT
Solares Logo

Solares

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Palleiro M.
23' Event
Gonzalez Cagigas V.
54'
Carral Pena R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 game between Velarde and Solares finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Velarde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Velarde
20%
Draws
30%
Solares
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Velarde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Solares carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Velarde a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Velarde Clean Sheet 68%
Solares Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velarde Solares
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 3 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.86 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs Solares
4:1
Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Solares vs Velarde
0:0
Feb 23, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Solares vs Velarde
2:1
Oct 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs Solares
0:2
Jan 20, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Solares vs Velarde
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Velarde Compare

Top Goalscorer Palleiro M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez Cagigas V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Solares Compare

Top Goalscorer Quitora Espinosa C. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velarde 50 / 100
Solares 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velarde Solares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Velarde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Solares conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Velarde remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Solares registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Velarde VS Solares
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Velarde

(Home)
19 Sept
Velarde
1 : 4
Vimenor
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Velarde
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0
Naval Reinosa
11 May
Velarde
0 : 3
Vimenor
05 May
Torina
0 : 0
Velarde
Page 1 of 6

Solares

(Away)
19 Sept
Solares
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0
Solares
06 Sept
Solares
0 : 2
CD Revilla
11 May
Guarnizo
4 : 2
Solares
05 May
Solares
3 : 2
UC Cartes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UM Escobedo 34 21 5 8 58:30 68
2 CD Laredo 34 18 7 9 49:22 61
3 Torina 34 16 12 6 45:37 60
4 Atletico Albericia 34 17 7 10 54:37 58
5 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 43:32 57
6 CD Tropezon 34 15 11 8 49:38 56
7 Bezana 34 17 5 12 49:42 56
8 Castro 34 16 4 14 41:41 52
9 Guarnizo 34 13 9 12 37:31 48
10 CD Revilla 34 12 8 14 41:52 44
11 Naval Reinosa 34 9 16 9 39:37 43
12 CD Colindres 34 13 4 17 37:42 43
13 CD Siete Villas 34 11 9 14 50:48 42
14 UD Samano 34 11 8 15 40:44 41
15 Atletico Mineros 34 8 9 17 35:63 33
16 Solares 34 9 6 19 33:54 33
17 UC Cartes 34 8 7 19 32:50 31
18 Velarde 34 3 11 20 29:61 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 (Play Offs)