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Velarde vs Vimenor

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Angulo Cobo D.
63' Event
Angulo Cobo D.
75' Event
Perez I.

AI Match Summary

Vimenor in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vimenor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Velarde
20%
Draws
51%
Vimenor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vimenor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vimenor lately — more wins on the board than Velarde.
  • Vimenor are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Velarde Clean Sheet 20%
Vimenor Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velarde Vimenor
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 4 22
Draws 9 5
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs Vimenor
1:4
May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs Vimenor
0:3
Jan 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Vimenor vs Velarde
3:1
May 11, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Vimenor vs Velarde
1:1
Dec 22, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs Vimenor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Velarde Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Vimenor Compare

Top Goalscorer Angulo Cobo D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Perez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velarde 20 / 100
Vimenor 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velarde Vimenor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vimenor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Vimenor conceded in 64% of 36 recent games.

Velarde went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Velarde scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Velarde VS Vimenor
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Velarde

(Home)
19 Sept
Velarde
1 : 4
Vimenor
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Velarde
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0
Naval Reinosa
11 May
Velarde
0 : 3
Vimenor
05 May
Torina
0 : 0
Velarde
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Vimenor

(Away)
19 Sept
Velarde
1 : 4
Vimenor
13 Sept
Vimenor
2 : 1
UD Samano
09 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 1
Vimenor
05 Sept
Cayon CD
0 : 1
Vimenor
09 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1
Vimenor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UM Escobedo 34 21 5 8 58:30 68
2 CD Laredo 34 18 7 9 49:22 61
3 Torina 34 16 12 6 45:37 60
4 Atletico Albericia 34 17 7 10 54:37 58
5 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 43:32 57
6 CD Tropezon 34 15 11 8 49:38 56
7 Bezana 34 17 5 12 49:42 56
8 Castro 34 16 4 14 41:41 52
9 Guarnizo 34 13 9 12 37:31 48
10 CD Revilla 34 12 8 14 41:52 44
11 Naval Reinosa 34 9 16 9 39:37 43
12 CD Colindres 34 13 4 17 37:42 43
13 CD Siete Villas 34 11 9 14 50:48 42
14 UD Samano 34 11 8 15 40:44 41
15 Atletico Mineros 34 8 9 17 35:63 33
16 Solares 34 9 6 19 33:54 33
17 UC Cartes 34 8 7 19 32:50 31
18 Velarde 34 3 11 20 29:61 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 (Play Offs)