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Stadium Background

Veles Moscow vs Tomsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup 2021/2022 Avangard Stadium, Domodedovo
Wed, Aug 4, 2021
1 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

90'
Mamin A.
90'
Mamin A.
1' Event
Batsuev A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Veles Moscow in this Russian Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Veles Moscow
30%
Draws
54%
Tomsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tomsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Tomsk at 1.17 per game, Veles Moscow at 1.07.
  • Veles Moscow are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Veles Moscow, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Veles Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
Tomsk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Veles Moscow Tomsk
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2021 FNL
Tomsk vs Veles Moscow
1:0
Aug 4, 2021 Russian Cup
Veles Moscow vs Tomsk
1:0
Jul 31, 2021 FNL
Veles Moscow vs Tomsk
1:0
Apr 17, 2021 FNL
Tomsk vs Veles Moscow
0:0
Oct 24, 2020 FNL
Veles Moscow vs Tomsk
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Veles Moscow 36 / 100
Tomsk 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Veles Moscow Tomsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Veles Moscow scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Tomsk let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Solid form: Veles Moscow remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Veles Moscow VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Veles Moscow

(Home)
04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
Ulyanovsk
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1
Veles Moscow
14 Sept
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
PFC Sochi
09 Sept
FC Murom
1 : 0
Veles Moscow
05 Sept
Ufa
1 : 1
Veles Moscow
Page 1 of 6

Tomsk

(Away)
21 May
Tomsk
2 : 2
M. Lipetsk
15 May
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
0 : 3
Tomsk
07 May
SKA Khabarovsk
2 : 0
Tomsk
30 Apr
Olimp-Dolgoprudny
1 : 0
Tomsk
23 Apr
Tomsk
1 : 0
Tekstilshtik
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nevinnomyssk 2
Dynamo Stavropol 4
TBD -
Kuban Kholding -
Biolog 4
Tuapse 3
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
Spartak Nalchik 3
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
TBD -
Legion Makhachkala -
Mashuk 4
Yessentuki 0
TBD -
Anzhi -
Forte Taganrog 3
Maykop 0
TBD -
SKA Rostov-on-Don -
Kursk 6
Salyut-Belgorod 0
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Dynamo Petersburg 3
Chita 2
TBD -
Leningradets -
Yadro 0
Zvezda St Peterburg 2
TBD -
FK Tver -
FC Krasava 3
FK Vidnoe 0
TBD -
Strogino Moscow -
FK Smolensk 1
Luki-Energiya 0
TBD -
D. Bryansk -
Sakhalin 0
Dynamo Vladivostok 2
TBD -
FC Chertanovo Moscow -
Kvant Obninsk 0
Kairat Moscow 3
TBD -
Kaluga -
Znamya Truda 1
Peresvet 2
TBD -
Ryazan -
Krasnoye Znamya 3
FK Kolomna 0
TBD -
Saturn Ramenskoye -
Vladimir 2
FC Murom 0
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
Khimik 0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
Nosta 1
Torpedo Miass 3
TBD -
Chelyabinsk -
Ilpar FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Zenit-Izhevsk -
Dynamo Barnaul 2
Sibir Novosibirsk 1
TBD -
Irtysh Omsk -
Amkar 2
Tyumen 3
TBD -
Zvezda Perm -
Lada Togliatti 0
Tuymazy 4
TBD -
Ulyanovsk -
TBD -
Saratov -
FK Saransk 1
Penza 0
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
Veles Moscow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tomsk -
Yenisey -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akron Togliatti -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuban -
Fakel Voronezh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimp-Dolgoprudny -
Torpedo Moscow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
M. Lipetsk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tekstilshtik -
Semi-finals
Dynamo Stavropol 1
Kuban Kholding 0
Biolog -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
Spartak Nalchik 0
Legion Makhachkala 1
Mashuk 0
Anzhi 1
Forte Taganrog 1
SKA Rostov-on-Don 0
Kursk 0
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
Dynamo Petersburg 0
Leningradets 4
Zvezda St Peterburg 1
FK Tver 0
FC Krasava 3
Strogino Moscow 0
FK Smolensk 1
D. Bryansk 2
Dynamo Vladivostok 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow 1
Kairat Moscow 1
Kaluga 0
Peresvet 2
Ryazan 1
Krasnoye Znamya 2
Saturn Ramenskoye 0
Vladimir 3
Rodina Moscow 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0
Torpedo Miass 2
Chelyabinsk 0
Ilpar FC 0
Zenit-Izhevsk 3
Dynamo Barnaul 2
Irtysh Omsk 1
Tyumen 1
Zvezda Perm 0
Tuymazy 1
Ulyanovsk 2
Saratov 2
FK Saransk 3
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
Veles Moscow -
TBD -
TBD -
Tomsk -
Yenisey -
TBD -
TBD -
Akron Togliatti -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuban -
Fakel Voronezh -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimp-Dolgoprudny -
Torpedo Moscow -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
M. Lipetsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Tekstilshtik -
Final
Dynamo Stavropol 3
Biolog 1
Legion Makhachkala 2
Anzhi 0
Forte Taganrog 1
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
Leningradets 2
Zvezda St Peterburg 1
FC Krasava 1
D. Bryansk 2
Dynamo Vladivostok 0
Kairat Moscow 1
Peresvet 0
Krasnoye Znamya 2
Vladimir 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 0
Torpedo Miass 1
Zenit-Izhevsk 2
Dynamo Barnaul 3
Tyumen 2
Ulyanovsk 0
FK Saransk 2
Kamaz 1
Neftekhimik 0
Veles Moscow 1
Tomsk 0
Yenisey 2
Akron Togliatti 1
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 1
Kuban 2
Fakel Voronezh 2
Olimp-Dolgoprudny 1
Torpedo Moscow 1
SKA Khabarovsk 0
M. Lipetsk 1
Tekstilshtik 0