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Veleshta vs Shkupi

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Macedonian Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Gjorgjievski M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Shkupi advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Veleshta
15%
Draws
0%
Shkupi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Veleshta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Shkupi haven't matched Veleshta's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Veleshta's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Veleshta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Shkupi, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Veleshta Clean Sheet 20%
Shkupi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Veleshta Shkupi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 1
Draws 5 1
Losses 19 27
Goals Scored 1.13 0.38
Goals Conceded 2.2 3.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2021 Macedonian Cup
Veleshta vs Shkupi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Veleshta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.27

Shkupi Compare

Top Goalscorer Gjorgjievski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Veleshta 42 / 100
Shkupi 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Veleshta Shkupi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shkupi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Shkupi's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Veleshta found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Shkupi
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 3.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Veleshta

(Home)
14 May
Veleshta
1 : 2
KF Gostivar
07 May
Kadino Skopje
1 : 1
Veleshta
30 Apr
Besa 1976
8 : 1
Veleshta
23 Apr
Veleshta
2 : 3
Ohrid
16 Apr
FK Korab
3 : 1
Veleshta
Page 1 of 6

Shkupi

(Away)
30 Aug
Shkupi
1 : 3
Teteks
22 Aug
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 0
Shkupi
15 Aug
Shkupi
0 : 2
Detonit Plackovica
24 May
Brera Strumica
6 : 0
Shkupi
16 May
Shkupi
0 : 7
Rabotnicki
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Ljuboten Tetovo 0
Pelister 9
Sloga Vinica 0
Rabotnicki 3
Pobeda 1
Vardar 2
Besa 1976 1
FK Skopje 2
FK Korab 1
Belasica Strumica 2
TBD -
Sileks -
Voska Sport 0
Bregalnica Stip 1
Lokomotiva Gradsko 0
Ohrid 2
FK Pehchevo 0
Shkendija Tetovo 2
KF Gostivar 0
Renova 4
Kamenica Sasa 0
Struga 2
New Stars 1
Borec 4
Brera Strumica -
TBD -
Detonit Plackovica 0
Makedonija GP 3
Veleshta 0
Shkupi 1
Novaci 0
Tikves 2
1/8-finals
Pelister 1
Rabotnicki 0
Vardar 1
FK Skopje 0
Belasica Strumica 2
Sileks 4
Bregalnica Stip 4
Ohrid 0
Shkendija Tetovo 5
Renova 0
Struga 2
Borec 1
Brera Strumica 1
Makedonija GP 2
Shkupi 1
Tikves 0
Quarter-finals
Pelister 1
Vardar 0
Sileks 2
Bregalnica Stip 1
Shkendija Tetovo 0
Struga 1
Makedonija GP 1
Shkupi 0
Semi-finals
Pelister 0
Sileks 1
Struga 0
Makedonija GP 1
Final
Sileks 0
Makedonija GP 1