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Veleshta vs Vardar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vardar in this 2. MFL 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vardar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Veleshta
30%
Draws
64%
Vardar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vardar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Veleshta haven't matched Vardar's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vardar a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. MFL 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Vardar here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Veleshta Clean Sheet 16%
Vardar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Veleshta Vardar
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.13 2.09
Goals Conceded 2.2 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2022 2. MFL
Veleshta vs Vardar
0:1
Dec 4, 2021 2. MFL
Vardar vs Veleshta
4:0
Sep 18, 2021 2. MFL
Veleshta vs Vardar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Veleshta 10 / 100
Vardar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Veleshta Vardar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vardar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Veleshta's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Vardar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Veleshta remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vardar
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Veleshta

(Home)
14 May
Veleshta
1 : 2
KF Gostivar
07 May
Kadino Skopje
1 : 1
Veleshta
30 Apr
Besa 1976
8 : 1
Veleshta
23 Apr
Veleshta
2 : 3
Ohrid
16 Apr
FK Korab
3 : 1
Veleshta
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Vardar

(Away)
19 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Shkendija Haracine
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3
Vardar
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Arsimi
03 Sept
Ovce Pole
0 : 5
Vardar
31 Aug
Tikves
1 : 1
Vardar
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pobeda 27 19 5 3 64:21 62
2 Belasica Strumica 27 18 5 4 56:14 59
3 Sloga Vinica 27 17 4 6 41:22 55
4 Kamenica Sasa 27 13 6 8 32:18 45
5 Kozuf Gevgelija 27 9 10 8 31:24 37
6 Detonit Plackovica 27 9 7 11 33:37 34
7 FK Pehchevo 27 10 3 14 35:31 33
8 Osogovo 27 8 7 12 34:45 31
9 Bratstvo 07 27 4 3 20 19:59 15
10 Lokomotiva Gradsko 27 1 4 22 12:86 7
Promotion - 1. MFL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2021/2022 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sileks 27 20 6 1 55:9 66
2 Voska Sport 27 18 5 4 51:14 59
3 Vardar 27 18 4 5 47:15 58
4 KF Gostivar 27 9 10 8 36:37 37
5 Teteks 27 10 6 11 32:44 36
6 Besa 1976 27 9 8 10 41:28 35
7 Ohrid 27 9 5 13 34:32 32
8 FK Korab 27 7 6 14 33:43 27
9 Veleshta 27 4 6 17 25:61 18
10 Kadino Skopje 27 1 4 22 13:84 7
Promotion - 1. MFL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2021/2022 (Relegation)