Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Velez Mostar vs Milsami

Europe Europe

Conference League Stadion Rodjeni, Mostar
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Fonkeu W.
39'
Angelov A.
46'
Sub
Shhade A. In: Besic M.
Out: Shhade A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Velez Mostar
20%
Draws
40%
Milsami
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Velez Mostar come out ahead of Milsami on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Velez Mostar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Velez Mostar Clean Sheet 13%
Milsami Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velez Mostar Milsami
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.21 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Conference League
Milsami vs Velez Mostar
0:1
Jul 9, 2026 Conference League
Velez Mostar vs Milsami
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Velez Mostar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ignatov L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Milsami Compare

Top Goalscorer Odubia P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velez Mostar 31 / 100
Milsami 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velez Mostar Milsami

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velez Mostar's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Milsami let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Velez Mostar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Velez Mostar VS Milsami
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Velez Mostar

(Home)
13 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 0
FK Sarajevo
06 Sept
Zeljeznicar
3 : 1
Velez Mostar
02 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 1
Radnik Bijeljina
28 Aug
Celik Zenica
3 : 0
Velez Mostar
22 Aug
Velez Mostar
2 : 0
FK Sloga Meridian
Page 1 of 6

Milsami

(Away)
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
06 Sept
CSF Balti
1 : 3
Milsami
30 Aug
Dacia Buiucani
0 : 0
Milsami
22 Aug
Milsami
1 : 0
Petrocub Hincesti
16 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau
4 : 2
Milsami
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik -
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Borac Banja Luka -
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Petrocub Hincesti -
ML Vitebsk -
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Sutjeska -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
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KuPS -
Tre Fiori -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Drita -
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
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Inter Escaldes -
Klaksvik -
TBD -
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Vardar -
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Riga FC -
Bissen -
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Gyor -
Lincoln Red Imps -
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Larne -
HJK -
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Coleraine -
Motherwell -
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HB Torshavn -
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Freiburg -
Gornik Zabrze -
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Monaco -
Basaksehir -
TBD -
FK Sarajevo 2
Inter Turku 3
Vaduz -
TBD -
Mornar Bar 2
Atletic Escaldes 4
Debrecen -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk 0
Pyunik Yerevan 4
Polissya Zhytomyr -
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FC Copenhagen -
Hearts -
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FC Hegelmann 1
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Zira FK 6
Torpedo Kutaisi 0
Penybont 0
FC Santa Coloma 4
TBD -
Rapid Vienna -
Alashkert 4
Yelimay Semey 3
TBD -
CFR Cluj -
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Tromso -
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Brighton -
Mondorf 2
Dinamo Tbilisi 3
Petrovac 2
Zalgiris 5
TBD -
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TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
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Valletta -
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Hammarby -
Paks -
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Panathinaikos -
Spartak Trnava -
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CSKA 1948 Sofia -
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Hradec Kralove -
IFK Goteborg -
TBD -
Caernarfon 0
Levadia 10
LNZ Cherkasy -
TBD -
TBD -
Gent -
Vllaznia 2
Malisheva 6
TBD -
Hibernian -
Bravo -
TBD -
Europa FC 0
Shkendija Tetovo 6
PAOK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj -
TBD -
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Brann -
Dila Gori 3
Virtus 2
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Apollon Limassol -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Zilina -
TBD -
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GKS Katowice -
Bohemians 2
St Josephs 0
Connahs Q. 2
FC Ballkani 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Rijeka -
TBD -
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Derry City -
Vikingur 3
Stjarnan 5
Differdange 1
Ilves 3
Rangers -
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Varazdin -
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Jablonec -
Glentoran 1
RFS 4
TBD -
Vestri -
Valur -
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Zrinjski -
GAIS -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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St. Gallen -
FCSB -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
Aluminij -
TBD -
Dinamo City 4
FC Astana 2
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Pafos -
Zimbru Chisinau -
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Noah -
AF Elbasani 1
BATE 2
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Sion -
Vojvodina -
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Ajax -
Shelbourne -
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Kalju 3
Linfield 2
Zeleznicar Pancevo -
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Braga -
Neftci Baku -
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Din. Minsk 2
Sileks 1
AEK Larnaca -
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Beitar Jerusalem -
Decic 1
FK Liepaja 3
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Austria Vienna -
Twente -
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Dun. Streda -
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Velez Mostar 2
Milsami 1
Dynamo Kyiv -
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Qarabag Agdam -
Getafe -
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Partizan -
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UNA Strassen 3
La Fiorita 0
FK Panevezys -
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Tobol -
Lugano -
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Dukagjini -
NSI Runavik 3
Hamrun 2
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Koper -
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Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Quarter-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
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Borac Banja Luka 6
Petrocub Hincesti 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Sutjeska 1
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
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TBD -
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KuPS -
Tre Fiori -
TBD -
Floriana 2
Drita 3
Flora 2
TNS 1
TBD -
Inter Escaldes -
Klaksvik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vardar 4
Riga FC 8
Bissen 3
Gyor 7
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
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TBD -
Larne -
HJK 8
Coleraine 0
Motherwell 5
HB Torshavn 0
TBD -
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TBD -
Freiburg -
Gornik Zabrze -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Basaksehir 1
Inter Turku 3
Vaduz 6
Atletic Escaldes 0
Debrecen 1
Pyunik Yerevan 0
Polissya Zhytomyr 4
FC Copenhagen 5
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Zira FK 1
FC Santa Coloma 3
Rapid Vienna 9
Alashkert 1
CFR Cluj 4
TBD -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Dinamo Tbilisi 5
Zalgiris 7
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Rakow Czestochowa 7
Valletta 1
TBD -
Hammarby -
Paks 3
Panathinaikos 4
Spartak Trnava 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
IFK Goteborg 4
Levadia 3
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Gent 1
Malisheva 3
Hibernian 4
Bravo 3
Shkendija Tetovo 4
PAOK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj 3
Brann 5
Dila Gori 0
Apollon Limassol 7
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv 4
Ludogorets 2
Zilina 3
GKS Katowice 4
Bohemians 5
FC Ballkani 4
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Rijeka 2
Derry City 0
Stjarnan 2
Ilves 3
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Varazdin 3
Jablonec 4
RFS 5
Vestri 2
Valur 3
Zrinjski 2
GAIS 1
Nordsjaelland 6
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Gallen -
FCSB 3
FK Auda Riga 7
Aluminij 1
Dinamo City 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pafos -
Zimbru Chisinau 2
Noah 3
BATE 1
Sion 5
Vojvodina 2
Ajax 8
Shelbourne 6
Kalju 4
Zeleznicar Pancevo 0
Braga 5
Neftci Baku 3
Din. Minsk 4
AEK Larnaca 3
Beitar Jerusalem 4
FK Liepaja 1
Austria Vienna 5
Twente -
TBD -
Dun. Streda 4
Velez Mostar 0
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam -
Getafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizan 5
UNA Strassen 0
FK Panevezys 2
Tobol 3
Lugano 6
Dukagjini 1
NSI Runavik 4
Koper 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Semi-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Borac Banja Luka 3
ML Vitebsk 2
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
Tre Fiori 1
Drita 9
Flora 0
Inter Escaldes 6
Klaksvik -
TBD -
Riga FC 2
Gyor 1
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
HJK 1
Motherwell 3
TBD -
Freiburg -
Gornik Zabrze -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Inter Turku 4
Vaduz 3
Debrecen 1
FC Copenhagen 8
Hearts -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Rapid Vienna 6
CFR Cluj 1
Tromso 7
TBD -
Brighton -
Zalgiris 2
Hajduk Split 9
Rakow Czestochowa 1
Hammarby 0
Panathinaikos 3
CSKA 1948 Sofia 2
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
IFK Goteborg 1
Gent 2
Hibernian 2
Shkendija Tetovo 1
PAOK -
TBD -
Brann 4
Apollon Limassol 3
Atalanta -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv 3
GKS Katowice 2
Bohemians 2
Midtjylland 5
Rijeka 2
Ilves 1
Rangers -
TBD -
Jablonec 4
RFS 1
Valur 0
Nordsjaelland 7
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
St. Gallen 8
FK Auda Riga 1
Dinamo City 4
TBD -
Pafos -
Noah 3
Sion 4
Ajax 5
Shelbourne 3
Braga 1
Din. Minsk 0
Beitar Jerusalem 3
Austria Vienna 4
Twente 9
Dun. Streda 3
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
Getafe -
TBD -
Partizan 5
Tobol 1
Lugano 4
NSI Runavik 2
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Borac Banja Luka 6
Shamrock Rovers 1
KuPS 2
Drita 2
Inter Escaldes 3
Klaksvik 1
Riga FC 2
Lincoln Red Imps 3
Larne 2
Motherwell 2
Freiburg 7
Gornik Zabrze 3
Monaco 7
Inter Turku 1
FC Copenhagen 4
Hearts 5
Rapid Vienna 4
Tromso 0
Brighton 4
Hajduk Split 5
Rakow Czestochowa 4
Panathinaikos 4
Hradec Kralove 3
Gent 3
Hibernian 2
PAOK 3
Brann 4
Atalanta 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0
Midtjylland 6
Rijeka 1
Rangers 1
Jablonec 2
Nordsjaelland 4
St. Gallen 2
Dinamo City 3
Pafos 5
Sion 5
Ajax 9
Braga 2
Austria Vienna 0
Twente 4
Qarabag Agdam 2
Getafe 4
Partizan 3
Lugano 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv 2