Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League Stadion Rodjeni

Milsami

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Velez Mostar play Milsami in the Conference League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Velez Mostar averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Milsami averaged 0.25 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Velez Mostar won 1, Milsami won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 1-2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Velez Mostar and 0.81 for Milsami. This points to a Velez Mostar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Velez Mostar

28%

Draws

22%

Milsami

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Velez Mostar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Velez Mostar has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Milsami.
Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Velez Mostar.
Cup tournament structure in Conference League increases high-stakes performance focus.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Velez Mostar Clean Sheet 68%

Milsami Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Velez Mostar	Milsami
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	15	11
Draws	6	6
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	1.13	0.25
Goals Conceded	1.38	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Conference League

Velez Mostar vs Milsami

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

1-2

Apr 12, 2025 Conference League

Milsami vs Velez Mostar

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

1-1

Mar 12, 2025 Conference League

Velez Mostar vs Milsami

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

0-1

Feb 12, 2025 Conference League

Milsami vs Velez Mostar

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

0-1

Jan 12, 2025 Conference League

Velez Mostar vs Milsami

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

0-1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Velez Mostar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ignatov L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Milsami Compare

Top Goalscorer Odubia P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.23

Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velez Mostar 59 / 100

Milsami 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Velez Mostar Milsami

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velez Mostar scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Milsami let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Velez Mostar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Milsami lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Velez Mostar VS Milsami

1.13 Goals Scored 0.25

1.38 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 38%

38% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals

Rijeka-

TBD-

Lugano-

TBD-

Dukagjini-

FCSB-

TBD-

FK Auda Riga-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Valletta-

Debrecen-

TBD-

Marsaxlokk-

Pyunik Yerevan-

IFK Goteborg-

TBD-

Caernarfon-

Levadia-

Varazdin-

TBD-

Jablonec-

Bravo-

TBD-

Europa FC-

Shkendija Tetovo-

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Kalju-

Linfield-

Zimbru Chisinau-

TBD-

Noah-

TBD-

Dinamo Tirana-

FC Astana-

AF Elbasani1

BATE1

TBD-

Sion-

Motherwell-

TBD-

HB Torshavn-

Vllaznia-

Malisheva-

TBD-

Hibernian-

Paks-

TBD-

Panathinaikos-

TBD-

Ajax-

LNZ Cherkasy-

TBD-

Gent-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

TBD-

Ludogorets-

Bohemians-

St Josephs-

Connahs Q.0

FC Ballkani0

Vaduz-

TBD-

Mornar Bar-

Atletic Escaldes-

NSI Runavik-

Hamrun-

TBD-

Koper-

Partizan-

TBD-

UNA Strassen1

La Fiorita0

Basaksehir-

TBD-

FK Sarajevo-

Inter Turku-

HJK-

TBD-

Coleraine-

Glentoran-

RFS-

TBD-

Decic-

FK Liepaja-

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

GAIS-

TBD-

Nordsjaelland-

TBD-

GKS Katowice-

Dila Gori-

Virtus-

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

TBD-

Brann-

Valur-

TBD-

Zrinjski-

Mondorf-

Dinamo Tbilisi-

Petrovac-

Zalgiris-

Dun. Streda-

TBD-

Velez Mostar-

Milsami-

Vikingur-

Stjarnan-

Differdange0

Ilves0

FK Panevezys-

TBD-

Tobol-

Neftci Baku-

TBD-

Din. Minsk-

Sileks-

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

TBD-

Braga-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

TBD-

FC Copenhagen-

Penybont-

FC Santa Coloma-

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

Alashkert-

Yelimay Semey-

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

FC Hegelmann-

Paide Linnameeskond-

Zira FK3

Torpedo Kutaisi0

Spartak Trnava-

TBD-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

AEK Larnaca-

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Rijeka-

TBD-

Lugano-

Dukagjini-

FCSB-

FK Auda Riga-

Rakow Czestochowa-

Valletta-

Debrecen-

TBD-

IFK Goteborg-

TBD-

Varazdin-

Jablonec-

Bravo-

TBD-

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Zimbru Chisinau-

Noah-

TBD-

Sion-

Motherwell-

HB Torshavn-

TBD-

Hibernian-

Paks-

Panathinaikos-

TBD-

Ajax-

LNZ Cherkasy-

Gent-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

Ludogorets-

TBD-

Vaduz-

TBD-

Koper-

Partizan-

TBD-

Basaksehir-

TBD-

HJK-

Coleraine-

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

GAIS-

Nordsjaelland-

TBD-

GKS Katowice-

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

TBD-

Brann-

Valur-

Zrinjski-

TBD-

Dun. Streda-

TBD-

FK Panevezys-

Tobol-

TBD-

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

Braga-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

FC Copenhagen-

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

TBD-

Spartak Trnava-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

AEK Larnaca-

Beitar Jerusalem-

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-