Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Velez Mostar vs Rudar Prijedor

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

WWIN Liga BiH 2025/2026 Stadion Rodjeni, Mostar
Velez Mostar Logo

Velez Mostar

4 - 2
FT
Rudar Prijedor Logo

Rudar Prijedor

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ritzmaier M.
Assist: Roncal A.
17' Event
Roncal A.
20'
Salcin D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Velez Mostar in this WWIN Liga BiH 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Velez Mostar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Velez Mostar
30%
Draws
39%
Rudar Prijedor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rudar Prijedor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Velez Mostar lately — more wins on the board than Rudar Prijedor.
  • Win probability leans Velez Mostar's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular WWIN Liga BiH 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Velez Mostar have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Velez Mostar Clean Sheet 16%
Rudar Prijedor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velez Mostar Rudar Prijedor
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 WWIN Liga BiH
Velez Mostar vs Rudar Prijedor
4:2
Mar 15, 2026 WWIN Liga BiH
Rudar Prijedor vs Velez Mostar
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 WWIN Liga BiH
Velez Mostar vs Rudar Prijedor
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 WWIN Liga BiH
Rudar Prijedor vs Velez Mostar
1:3
May 6, 2022 WWIN Liga BiH
Velez Mostar vs Rudar Prijedor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Velez Mostar Compare

Top Goalscorer Omerovic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pidro S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Rudar Prijedor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ritzmaier M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roncal A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velez Mostar 36 / 100
Rudar Prijedor 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velez Mostar Rudar Prijedor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rudar Prijedor let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Velez Mostar scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Velez Mostar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Velez Mostar VS Rudar Prijedor
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Velez Mostar

(Home)
19 Sept
Zrinjski
2 : 0
Velez Mostar
13 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 0
FK Sarajevo
06 Sept
Zeljeznicar
3 : 1
Velez Mostar
02 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 1
Radnik Bijeljina
28 Aug
Celik Zenica
3 : 0
Velez Mostar
Page 1 of 6

Rudar Prijedor

(Away)
23 Sept
Zvornik
1 : 0
Rudar Prijedor
19 Sept
Rudar Prijedor
1 : 0
Sutjeska Foca
16 Sept
Majevica
3 : 0
Rudar Prijedor
12 Sept
Slavija
2 : 2
Rudar Prijedor
06 Sept
Rudar Prijedor
1 : 1
Nevesinje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borac Banja Luka 36 27 5 4 76:20 86
2 Zrinjski 36 21 8 7 48:25 71
3 FK Sarajevo 36 19 8 9 54:37 65
4 Velez Mostar 36 14 9 13 36:35 51
5 Siroki Brijeg 36 11 12 13 37:48 45
6 Zeljeznicar 36 10 12 14 34:37 42
7 Radnik Bijeljina 36 8 11 17 27:45 35
8 FK Sloga Meridian 36 8 10 18 21:46 34
9 Posusje 36 8 10 18 25:41 34
10 Rudar Prijedor 36 7 9 20 31:55 30
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)