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Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg Prediction & H2H Stats

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup Stadion Rodjeni, Mostar
Velez Mostar Logo

Velez Mostar

2 - 1
FT
Siroki Brijeg Logo

Siroki Brijeg

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Spahic A.
57' Event
Vehabovic E.
85' Event
Klepac M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Velez Mostar
30%
Draws
23%
Siroki Brijeg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Velez Mostar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Velez Mostar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Velez Mostar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Velez Mostar, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Velez Mostar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Velez Mostar Clean Sheet 68%
Siroki Brijeg Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velez Mostar Siroki Brijeg
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.15 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 WWIN Liga BiH
Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg
3:0
Feb 15, 2026 WWIN Liga BiH
Siroki Brijeg vs Velez Mostar
1:0
Feb 11, 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup
Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 WWIN Liga BiH
Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 WWIN Liga BiH
Siroki Brijeg vs Velez Mostar
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Velez Mostar Compare

Top Goalscorer Spahic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vehabovic E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Siroki Brijeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Klepac M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velez Mostar 42 / 100
Siroki Brijeg 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velez Mostar Siroki Brijeg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siroki Brijeg let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Velez Mostar scored in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Siroki Brijeg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Velez Mostar VS Siroki Brijeg
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Velez Mostar

(Home)
19 Sept
Zrinjski
2 : 0
Velez Mostar
13 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 0
FK Sarajevo
06 Sept
Zeljeznicar
3 : 1
Velez Mostar
02 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 1
Radnik Bijeljina
28 Aug
Celik Zenica
3 : 0
Velez Mostar
Page 1 of 7

Siroki Brijeg

(Away)
20 Sept
Siroki Brijeg
2 : 3
Borac Banja Luka
12 Sept
Siroki Brijeg
1 : 1
BSK Banja Luka
06 Sept
Zrinjski
2 : 1
Siroki Brijeg
02 Sept
Siroki Brijeg
1 : 2
FK Sarajevo
29 Aug
Zeljeznicar
1 : 1
Siroki Brijeg
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Famos Hrasnica 1
Jedinstvo Bihac 0
Laktasi 3
Zvijezda 09 1
Crni Vrh 0
Radnik Bijeljina 1
Krusevo 3
Borac Banja Luka 2
NK GOSK Gabela 5
Tuzla City 1
BSK Banja Luka 0
Rudar Prijedor 6
Romanija Pale 0
Zrinjski 2
Stupcanica 2
Leotar 0
Celik Zenica 1
Posusje 0
Hadzici 0
FK Sarajevo 3
Majevica 0
Velez Mostar 1
Gradina Srebrenik 1
Siroki Brijeg 4
Sloboda Tuzla 0
Zeljeznicar 2
Slatina 1
Slavija 2
Grude 0
FK Sloga Meridian 7
Tekstilac Derventa 4
SD Napredak 1
1/8-finals
Famos Hrasnica 0
Laktasi 1
Radnik Bijeljina 5
Krusevo 1
NK GOSK Gabela 1
Rudar Prijedor 0
Zrinjski 4
Stupcanica 0
Celik Zenica 0
FK Sarajevo 1
Velez Mostar 2
Siroki Brijeg 1
Zeljeznicar 4
Slavija 0
FK Sloga Meridian 4
Tekstilac Derventa 0
Quarter-finals
Laktasi 2
Radnik Bijeljina 4
NK GOSK Gabela 3
Zrinjski 5
FK Sarajevo 1
Velez Mostar 5
Zeljeznicar 1
FK Sloga Meridian 2
Semi-finals
Radnik Bijeljina 0
Zrinjski 2
Velez Mostar 6
FK Sloga Meridian 1
Final
Zrinjski 2
Velez Mostar 1