Sport Picks
Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bosnia and Herzegovina
WWIN Liga BiH Stadion Rodjeni, Mostar 
AI Match Summary
Velez Mostar host Siroki Brijeg in the WWIN Liga BiH. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Velez Mostar have averaged 1.16 scored and 1.22 conceded recently, against Siroki Brijeg's 1.14 scored and 1.41 conceded. Past meetings favor Velez Mostar slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 21, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.69, favoring Velez Mostar. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Velez Mostar have won more games recently than Siroki Brijeg.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Velez Mostar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Velez Mostar | Siroki Brijeg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Velez Mostar found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).
Defensive concern: Siroki Brijeg conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Siroki Brijeg has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Velez Mostar
(Home)Siroki Brijeg
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17:5 | 21 |
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 19 |
| 3 | FK Sarajevo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6:5 | 13 |
| 4 | Zeljeznicar | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 5 | Siroki Brijeg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 6 | FK Sloga Meridian | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | 9 |
| 7 | Celik Zenica | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 8 | BSK Banja Luka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 9 | Velez Mostar | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | 7 |
| 10 | Radnik Bijeljina | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12:19 | 4 |
