Sport Picks
Velez Mostar vs Zrinjski
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup Stadion Rodjeni, Mostar 
Match Events
4'
4'
Bilbija N.
12'
12'
Saric I.
16'
16'
Vehabovic E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zrinjski
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Velez Mostar haven't matched Zrinjski's recent run of results.
- Zrinjski are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Zrinjski arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Zrinjski, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Zrinjski have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Velez Mostar Clean Sheet 10%
Zrinjski Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Velez Mostar | Zrinjski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 33 |
| Wins | 13 | 20 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 0.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 WWIN Liga BiH
Zrinjski vs Velez Mostar
2:0
May 26, 2026 WWIN Liga BiH
Zrinjski vs Velez Mostar
3:0
May 13, 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup
Velez Mostar vs Zrinjski
1:1
May 6, 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup
Zrinjski vs Velez Mostar
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 WWIN Liga BiH
Velez Mostar vs Zrinjski
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Velez Mostar Compare
Top Goalscorer Spahic A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Zrinjski Compare
Top Goalscorer Bilbija N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Velez Mostar 10 / 100
Zrinjski 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Velez Mostar Zrinjski
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zrinjski Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Velez Mostar's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Zrinjski has conceded goals in 48% of their last 33 outings.
Velez Mostar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Velez Mostar VS Zrinjski
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Velez Mostar
(Home) 19 Sept
Zrinjski
2 : 0 Velez Mostar
13 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 0 FK Sarajevo
06 Sept
Zeljeznicar
3 : 1 Velez Mostar
02 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 1 Radnik Bijeljina
28 Aug
Celik Zenica
3 : 0 Velez Mostar
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 0 FK Sarajevo
02 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 1 Radnik Bijeljina
22 Aug
Velez Mostar
2 : 0 FK Sloga Meridian
30 Jul
Velez Mostar
0 : 3 Dun. Streda
09 Jul
Velez Mostar
1 : 1 Milsami
Page 1 of 4
Zrinjski
(Away) 27 Sept
Radnik Bijeljina
0 : 1 Zrinjski
26 Sept
Zrinjski
0 : 0 Vojvodina
19 Sept
Zrinjski
2 : 0 Velez Mostar
12 Sept
Borac Banja Luka
1 : 0 Zrinjski
06 Sept
Zrinjski
2 : 1 Siroki Brijeg
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Radnik Bijeljina
0 : 1 Zrinjski
12 Sept
Borac Banja Luka
1 : 0 Zrinjski
29 Aug
FK Sarajevo
0 : 1 Zrinjski
16 Aug
Radnik Bijeljina
1 : 5 Zrinjski
23 Jul
Valur
1 : 0 Zrinjski
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Famos Hrasnica 1
Jedinstvo Bihac 0
Laktasi 3
Zvijezda 09 1
Crni Vrh 0
Radnik Bijeljina 1
Krusevo 3
Borac Banja Luka 2
NK GOSK Gabela 5
Tuzla City 1
BSK Banja Luka 0
Rudar Prijedor 6
Romanija Pale 0
Zrinjski 2
Stupcanica 2
Leotar 0
Celik Zenica 1
Posusje 0
Hadzici 0
FK Sarajevo 3
Majevica 0
Velez Mostar 1
Gradina Srebrenik 1
Siroki Brijeg 4
Sloboda Tuzla 0
Zeljeznicar 2
Slatina 1
Slavija 2
Grude 0
FK Sloga Meridian 7
Tekstilac Derventa 4
SD Napredak 1
1/8-finals
Famos Hrasnica 0
Laktasi 1
Radnik Bijeljina 5
Krusevo 1
NK GOSK Gabela 1
Rudar Prijedor 0
Zrinjski 4
Stupcanica 0
Celik Zenica 0
FK Sarajevo 1
Velez Mostar 2
Siroki Brijeg 1
Zeljeznicar 4
Slavija 0
FK Sloga Meridian 4
Tekstilac Derventa 0
Quarter-finals
Laktasi 2
Radnik Bijeljina 4
NK GOSK Gabela 3
Zrinjski 5
FK Sarajevo 1
Velez Mostar 5
Zeljeznicar 1
FK Sloga Meridian 2
Semi-finals
Radnik Bijeljina 0
Zrinjski 2
Velez Mostar 6
FK Sloga Meridian 1
Final
Zrinjski 2
Velez Mostar 1
