Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Tiro

Argentina Argentina

Copa Argentina Estadio Ciudad de Caseros, Buenos Aires
Velez Sarsfield Logo

Velez Sarsfield

2 - 0
FT
Gimnasia y Tiro Logo

Gimnasia y Tiro

Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Diaz G.
36'
Villarreal R.
45' Event
Godoy D.
Assist: Lanzini M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Velez Sarsfield
30%
Draws
33%
Gimnasia y Tiro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Velez Sarsfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Gimnasia y Tiro haven't matched Velez Sarsfield's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Velez Sarsfield have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Velez Sarsfield, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Velez Sarsfield Clean Sheet 68%
Gimnasia y Tiro Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velez Sarsfield Gimnasia y Tiro
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.3 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Copa Argentina
Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Tiro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Velez Sarsfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Godoy D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valdes D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Gimnasia y Tiro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velez Sarsfield 41 / 100
Gimnasia y Tiro 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velez Sarsfield Gimnasia y Tiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Velez Sarsfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velez Sarsfield scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Gimnasia y Tiro has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Velez Sarsfield has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Velez Sarsfield VS Gimnasia y Tiro
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Velez Sarsfield

(Home)
21 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
3 : 2
Tigre
11 Sept
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1
Velez Sarsfield
06 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0
Estudiantes L.P.
03 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
0 : 1
Boca Juniors
29 Aug
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 1
Velez Sarsfield
Page 1 of 6

Gimnasia y Tiro

(Away)
20 Sept
Agropecuario
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
12 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
06 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3
Gimnasia y Tiro
29 Aug
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
22 Aug
San Martin S.J.
3 : 1
Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
San Lorenzo 5
Deportivo Rincon 0
Deportivo Riestra 1
Deportivo Maipu 0
Newells Old Boys 0
Acassuso 2
Gimnasia L.P. 4
Deportivo Camioneros 1
Banfield 3
Real Pilar 0
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0
San Martin T. 1
Godoy Cruz 0
Deportivo Moron 1
Argentinos Jrs 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
San Martin Formosa 0
Defensa y Justicia 2
Chaco For Ever 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
Gimnasia Jujuy 3
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Atl. Rafaela 0
Velez Sarsfield 4
Deportivo Armenio 1
Gimnasia Mendoza 0
Gimnasia y Tiro 1
Sarmiento Junin 1
Tristan Suarez 0
Boca Juniors 2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0
River Plate 1
Ciudad Bolivar 0
Aldosivi 3
San Miguel 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
CA Estudiantes 0
Tigre 2
Claypole 0
Talleres Cordoba 2
Argentino de Merlo 0
Atl. Tucuman 2
Sportivo Barracas 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Agropecuario 0
Independiente 4
Biblioteca Atenas 2
Platense 1
Argentino MM 0
San Martin S.J. 2
Deportivo Madryn 0
Instituto 2
Atletico Atlanta 0
Lanus 4
Sarmiento de La Banda 1
Estudiantes L.P. 4
Ituzaingo 0
Rosario Central 2
Sportivo Belgrano 0
Barracas Central 3
Temperley 2
Huracan 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1
1/16-finals
San Lorenzo 1
Deportivo Riestra 2
Acassuso 0
Gimnasia L.P. 3
Banfield 2
San Martin T. 1
Deportivo Moron 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 4
Defensa y Justicia 1
Gimnasia Jujuy 2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Velez Sarsfield 2
Gimnasia y Tiro 0
Sarmiento Junin 0
Boca Juniors 2
River Plate 1
Aldosivi 3
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Tigre 0
Talleres Cordoba 0
Atl. Tucuman 3
Union de Santa Fe 0
Independiente 2
Platense 1
San Martin S.J. 0
Instituto 2
Lanus 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Rosario Central 0
Barracas Central 1
Huracan 0
1/8-finals
Deportivo Riestra 2
Gimnasia L.P. 1
Banfield 3
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0
Velez Sarsfield 0
Boca Juniors 1
Aldosivi 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
Atl. Tucuman 4
Independiente 0
Platense 2
Instituto 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Barracas Central 1
Quarter-finals
Deportivo Riestra 1
Banfield 2
Racing Club -
Boca Juniors -
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Atl. Tucuman 2
Platense -
Estudiantes L.P. -
Semi-finals
Banfield -
TBD -
Atl. Tucuman -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -