Sport Picks

Argentina

Copa Argentina Estadio Ciudad de Caseros, Buenos Aires

Velez Sarsfield

2 - 0

Gimnasia y Tiro

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Diaz G.

36'

Villarreal R.

45'

Godoy D.

Assist: Lanzini M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Velez Sarsfield in this Copa Argentina tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Velez Sarsfield

39%

Draws

31%

Gimnasia y Tiro

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Gimnasia y Tiro haven't matched Velez Sarsfield's recent run of results.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Velez Sarsfield have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Velez Sarsfield, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 53%

Over 2.5 Goals 22%

Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Velez Sarsfield Clean Sheet 68%

Gimnasia y Tiro Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Velez Sarsfield	Gimnasia y Tiro
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	11	9
Draws	9	9
Losses	8	10
Goals Scored	0.71	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.57	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.71	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.57	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Copa Argentina

Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Tiro

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Velez Sarsfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Godoy D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Valdes D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.55

Avg xA / game 0.35

Gimnasia y Tiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velez Sarsfield 41 / 100

Gimnasia y Tiro 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Velez Sarsfield Gimnasia y Tiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velez Sarsfield scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Gimnasia y Tiro has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Velez Sarsfield has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Velez Sarsfield VS Gimnasia y Tiro

0.71 Goals Scored 0.88

0.57 Goals Conceded 1.25

43% Over 1.5 63%

14% Over 2.5 25%

14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Velez Sarsfield

(Home)

11 May

Velez Sarsfield

0 : 1

Gimnasia L.P.

04 May

Velez Sarsfield

1 : 1

Newells Old Boys

01 May

Velez Sarsfield

2 : 0

Gimnasia y Tiro

27 Apr

Velez Sarsfield

2 : 2

Union de Santa Fe

20 Apr

San Lorenzo

0 : 0

Velez Sarsfield

Page 1 of 6

Gimnasia y Tiro

(Away)

12 Jul

Gimnasia y Tiro

1 : 1

Patronato

04 Jul

Colegiales

1 : 2

Gimnasia y Tiro

21 Jun

Deportivo Maipu

0 : 0

Gimnasia y Tiro

13 Jun

Quilmes

1 : 0

Gimnasia y Tiro

06 Jun

Gimnasia y Tiro

1 : 0

Midland

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

San Lorenzo5

Deportivo Rincon0

Deportivo Riestra1

Deportivo Maipu0

Newells Old Boys0

Acassuso2

Gimnasia L.P.4

Deportivo Camioneros1

Banfield3

Real Pilar0

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto0

San Martin T.1

Godoy Cruz0

Deportivo Moron1

Argentinos Jrs1

Midland2

Racing Club1

San Martin Formosa0

Defensa y Justicia2

Chaco For Ever1

Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)2

Gimnasia Jujuy3

CA Belgrano de Cordoba3

Atl. Rafaela0

Velez Sarsfield4

Deportivo Armenio1

Gimnasia Mendoza0

Gimnasia y Tiro1

Sarmiento Junin1

Tristan Suarez0

Boca Juniors2

Gimnasia Chivilcoy0

River Plate1

Ciudad Bolivar0

Aldosivi3

San Miguel0

Ind. Rivadavia2

CA Estudiantes0

Tigre2

Claypole0

Talleres Cordoba2

Argentino de Merlo0

Atl. Tucuman2

Sportivo Barracas1

Union de Santa Fe2

Agropecuario0

Independiente4

Biblioteca Atenas2

Platense1

Argentino MM0

San Martin S.J.2

Deportivo Madryn0

Instituto2

Atletico Atlanta0

Lanus4

Sarmiento de La Banda1

Estudiantes L.P.4

Ituzaingo0

Rosario Central2

Sportivo Belgrano0

Barracas Central3

Temperley2

Huracan2

Olimpo Bahia Blanca1

1/16-finals

San Lorenzo1

Deportivo Riestra2

Acassuso0

Gimnasia L.P.3

Banfield2

San Martin T.1

Deportivo Moron1

Midland2

Racing Club4

Defensa y Justicia1

Gimnasia Jujuy2

CA Belgrano de Cordoba3

Velez Sarsfield2

Gimnasia y Tiro0

Sarmiento Junin0

Boca Juniors2

River Plate1

Aldosivi3

Ind. Rivadavia1

Tigre0

Talleres Cordoba0

Atl. Tucuman3

Union de Santa Fe0

Independiente2

Platense1

San Martin S.J.0

Instituto2

Lanus1

Estudiantes L.P.3

Rosario Central0

Barracas Central1

Huracan0

1/8-finals

Deportivo Riestra-

Gimnasia L.P.-

Banfield-

Midland-

Racing Club-

CA Belgrano de Cordoba-

Velez Sarsfield-

Boca Juniors-

Aldosivi-

Ind. Rivadavia-

Atl. Tucuman-

Independiente-

Platense-

Instituto-

Estudiantes L.P.-

Barracas Central-

Quarter-finals

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-