Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Velez vs Atarfe Industrial

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atarfe Industrial in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atarfe Industrial.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Velez
15%
Draws
85%
Atarfe Industrial
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atarfe Industrial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Velez haven't matched Atarfe Industrial's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Atarfe Industrial a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Velez Clean Sheet 20%
Atarfe Industrial Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velez Atarfe Industrial
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.84 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs Atarfe Industrial
1:2
Nov 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs Velez
0:1
Jan 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs Atarfe Industrial
0:0
Sep 13, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs Velez
2:2
Feb 11, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs Atarfe Industrial
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velez 10 / 100
Atarfe Industrial 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velez Atarfe Industrial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atarfe Industrial Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atarfe Industrial's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Atarfe Industrial lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Velez's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Velez VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Velez

(Home)
05 May
UCAM Murcia
9 : 0
Velez
28 Apr
Velez
2 : 6
Marbella
21 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Sevilla B
14 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 0
Velez
07 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
Page 1 of 7

Atarfe Industrial

(Away)
17 Nov
Huracan Melilla
2 : 1
Atarfe Industrial
18 Aug
Motril
2 : 0
Atarfe Industrial
19 May
CP Almeria
0 : 1
Atarfe Industrial
12 May
Atarfe Industrial
0 : 3
CD Torreperogil
05 May
Mancha
4 : 2
Atarfe Industrial
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jaen 42 32 5 5 99:32 101
2 Linares 42 27 6 9 79:32 87
3 Antequera 42 24 10 8 90:35 82
4 El Palo 42 24 9 9 65:34 81
5 Velez 42 18 14 10 56:40 68
6 Motril 42 20 8 14 79:59 68
7 Loja 42 18 8 16 68:64 62
8 Mancha 42 16 12 14 59:52 60
9 Alhaurin 42 16 11 15 73:69 59
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 42 16 10 16 74:59 58
11 CD Torreperogil 42 16 10 16 43:52 58
12 Huetor Vega 42 16 9 17 56:65 57
13 Huetor Tajar 42 15 12 15 65:55 57
14 CP Almeria 42 15 12 15 53:57 57
15 CD Alhaurino 42 14 14 14 72:66 56
16 Torremolinos 42 15 8 19 57:65 53
17 Rincon 42 14 10 18 45:63 52
18 Martos 42 12 8 22 41:70 44
19 Atarfe Industrial 42 12 6 24 49:79 42
20 UD San Pedro 42 11 8 23 48:75 41
21 Guadix 42 8 11 23 44:95 35
22 River Melilla 42 2 1 39 28:125 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)