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Velez vs Dos Hermanas

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 game between Velez and Dos Hermanas finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Velez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Velez
15%
Draws
85%
Dos Hermanas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dos Hermanas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dos Hermanas come out ahead of Velez on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dos Hermanas a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Velez Clean Sheet 11%
Dos Hermanas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velez Dos Hermanas
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 15
Draws 10 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.83 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs Dos Hermanas
5:2
Dec 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Dos Hermanas vs Velez
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velez 10 / 100
Dos Hermanas 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velez Dos Hermanas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dos Hermanas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Dos Hermanas has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Velez scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Dos Hermanas lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dos Hermanas
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Velez

(Home)
05 May
UCAM Murcia
9 : 0
Velez
28 Apr
Velez
2 : 6
Marbella
21 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Sevilla B
14 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 0
Velez
07 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
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Dos Hermanas

(Away)
16 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Dos Hermanas
13 Sept
Cadiz B
0 : 0
Dos Hermanas
09 Sept
Sporting Ceuta
0 : 9
Dos Hermanas
06 Sept
Dos Hermanas
3 : 0
CD Utrera
08 Aug
Dos Hermanas
0 : 1
Linares
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 38 28 6 4 107:34 90
2 Antequera 38 23 6 9 70:38 75
3 Almeria B 38 21 8 9 61:36 71
4 Huetor Tajar 38 21 8 9 73:48 71
5 Motril 38 21 7 10 71:43 70
6 Loja 38 20 6 12 63:41 66
7 Rincon 38 16 9 13 49:52 57
8 El Palo 38 16 8 14 64:57 56
9 Martos 38 15 8 15 57:54 53
10 Guadix 38 14 9 15 47:51 51
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 38 14 6 18 41:51 48
12 Maracena 38 12 10 16 50:54 46
13 UD San Pedro 37 11 12 14 42:49 45
14 Atarfe Industrial 37 11 12 14 42:59 45
15 Velez 38 12 8 18 44:64 44
16 Huetor Vega 38 10 14 14 45:55 44
17 River Melilla 38 10 10 18 47:67 40
18 CD Alhaurino 38 7 10 21 37:67 31
19 Dos Hermanas 38 7 7 24 48:88 28
20 Alhaurin 38 3 10 25 39:89 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)