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Velez vs Los Molinos CF Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2013/2014 game between Velez and Los Molinos CF finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Velez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Velez
15%
Draws
85%
Los Molinos CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Los Molinos CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Los Molinos CF come out ahead of Velez on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Velez have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Velez Clean Sheet 20%
Los Molinos CF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velez Los Molinos CF
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.88 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Molinos CF vs Velez
1:0
Oct 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs Los Molinos CF
3:0
Feb 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs Los Molinos CF
2:0
Sep 22, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Molinos CF vs Velez
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velez 32 / 100
Los Molinos CF 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velez Los Molinos CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Molinos CF has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Los Molinos CF lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Velez found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Velez VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Velez

(Home)
05 May
UCAM Murcia
9 : 0
Velez
28 Apr
Velez
2 : 6
Marbella
21 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Sevilla B
14 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 0
Velez
07 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
Page 1 of 7

Los Molinos CF

(Away)
17 May
Los Molinos CF
0 : 4
Huetor Tajar
10 May
Maracena
5 : 1
Los Molinos CF
03 May
Los Molinos CF
2 : 1
Martos
26 Apr
Espanol Alquian
2 : 1
Los Molinos CF
19 Apr
Los Molinos CF
0 : 2
Mancha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marbella 38 27 5 6 81:37 86
2 Linares 38 24 10 4 70:28 82
3 Malaga B 38 25 7 6 74:34 82
4 Loja 38 24 7 7 88:44 79
5 Mancha 38 22 6 10 51:31 72
6 Velez 38 19 10 9 60:31 67
7 Martos 38 17 9 12 65:49 60
8 Villacarrillo 38 16 11 11 63:46 59
9 Huetor Tajar 38 14 11 13 36:42 53
10 Atarfe Industrial 38 14 8 16 48:49 50
11 Maracena 38 15 4 19 44:44 49
12 Espanol Alquian 38 14 7 17 58:71 49
13 Antequera 38 12 8 18 43:54 44
14 UD San Pedro 38 11 11 16 34:54 44
15 CD Ronda 38 12 7 19 48:58 43
16 Los Molinos CF 38 12 7 19 52:64 43
17 Los Villares 38 12 6 20 36:55 42
18 Melilla B 38 11 7 20 44:66 40
19 AD Huercal 38 4 1 33 29:106 13
20 Union Estepona CF 38 2 4 32 16:77 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)