Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 game between Velez and Los Villares finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Los Villares
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Los Villares carry the better recent record into this one.
- Los Villares are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Velez Clean Sheet 20%
Los Villares Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Velez | Los Villares |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs Los Villares
3:0
Oct 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Velez
4:4
Mar 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs Los Villares
1:1
Oct 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Velez
0:0
Feb 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs Los Villares
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Velez 10 / 100
Los Villares 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Velez Los Villares
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Los Villares Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Los Villares conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Velez scored in 55% of their last 31 games.
Difficult form: Los Villares registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Velez VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Velez
(Home) 05 May
UCAM Murcia
9 : 0 Velez
28 Apr
Velez
2 : 6 Marbella
21 Apr
Velez
0 : 1 Sevilla B
14 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 0 Velez
07 Apr
Velez
0 : 1 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
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28 Apr
Velez
2 : 6 Marbella
21 Apr
Velez
0 : 1 Sevilla B
07 Apr
Velez
0 : 1 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
24 Mar
Velez
0 : 3 Cadiz B
10 Mar
Velez
1 : 1 Manchego Ciudad Real
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Los Villares
(Away) 15 May
Antequera
5 : 0 Los Villares
08 May
Los Villares
1 : 0 Ejido
01 May
Comarca Del Marmol
2 : 3 Los Villares
23 Apr
Los Villares
3 : 0 River Melilla
17 Apr
Martos
3 : 2 Los Villares
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15 May
Antequera
5 : 0 Los Villares
01 May
Comarca Del Marmol
2 : 3 Los Villares
17 Apr
Martos
3 : 2 Los Villares
03 Apr
Huetor Tajar
1 : 1 Los Villares
20 Mar
UD San Pedro
2 : 1 Los Villares
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linares | 38 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 88:26 | 88 |
| 2 | Malaga B | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 69:36 | 75 |
| 3 | UD San Pedro | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 65:35 | 73 |
| 4 | Martos | 38 | 22 | 5 | 11 | 66:42 | 71 |
| 5 | Loja | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 55:36 | 69 |
| 6 | Huetor Tajar | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 53:37 | 62 |
| 7 | Los Villares | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 43:37 | 58 |
| 8 | Maracena | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 66:52 | 57 |
| 9 | Guadix | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 49:49 | 51 |
| 10 | Mancha | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 36:34 | 50 |
| 11 | Velez | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49:47 | 49 |
| 12 | Espanol Alquian | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 53:70 | 48 |
| 13 | Ejido | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55:75 | 47 |
| 14 | CD Ronda | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 52:63 | 43 |
| 15 | Antequera | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 51:55 | 42 |
| 16 | Alhaurin | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 43:74 | 41 |
| 17 | Atarfe Industrial | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 53:70 | 37 |
| 18 | Villacarrillo | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 32:64 | 31 |
| 19 | Atletico Melilla | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 29:58 | 30 |
| 20 | Los Molinos CF | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 32:79 | 26 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
