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Velez vs Melilla CD

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021
Velez Logo

Velez

2 - 1
FT
Melilla CD Logo

Melilla CD

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Velez in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Velez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Velez
15%
Draws
85%
Melilla CD
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melilla CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Velez haven't matched Melilla CD's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Melilla CD taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Velez have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Velez Clean Sheet 19%
Melilla CD Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velez Melilla CD
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.94 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs Melilla CD
2:1
Dec 20, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla CD vs Velez
2:3
Feb 28, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla CD vs Velez
0:0
Oct 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs Melilla CD
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velez 24 / 100
Melilla CD 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velez Melilla CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melilla CD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Melilla CD lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Melilla CD has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Velez scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Velez VS Melilla CD
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Velez

(Home)
05 May
UCAM Murcia
9 : 0
Velez
28 Apr
Velez
2 : 6
Marbella
21 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Sevilla B
14 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 0
Velez
07 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
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Melilla CD

(Away)
09 Oct
Chiclana
4 : 0
Melilla CD
12 Oct
Melilla CD
1 : 3
Deportivo Murcia
19 Oct
CD Algar
4 : 1
Melilla CD
06 Jun
Melilla CD
1 : 2
Atletico de Porcuna
29 May
Maracena
5 : 2
Melilla CD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mancha 20 10 6 4 35:12 36
2 Almeria B 20 9 6 5 32:25 33
3 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 20 9 6 5 35:25 33
4 CD Torreperogil 20 7 7 6 16:17 28
5 Huetor Tajar 20 6 10 4 28:25 28
6 Huetor Vega 20 6 7 7 25:27 25
7 Jaen 20 7 4 9 24:27 25
8 CP Almeria 20 6 5 9 15:25 23
9 Loja 20 6 3 11 15:32 21
10 Atletico de Porcuna 20 3 12 5 22:23 21
11 Maracena 20 4 8 8 19:28 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez 18 11 4 3 22:15 37
2 Antequera 18 8 6 4 29:11 30
3 El Palo 18 7 7 4 18:17 28
4 Torremolinos 18 7 7 4 23:18 28
5 Malaga B 18 8 4 6 28:19 28
6 CD Estepona 18 5 5 8 18:25 20
7 Alhaurin 18 5 5 8 17:27 20
8 Motril 18 6 2 10 21:26 20
9 Melilla CD 18 4 5 9 17:29 17
10 CD Alhaurino 18 4 5 9 22:28 17
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)