Sport Picks
Velez vs Union Estepona CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013 game between Velez and Union Estepona CF finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Velez.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Estepona CF
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Velez come out ahead of Union Estepona CF on wins alone.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Union Estepona CF taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Velez Clean Sheet 20%
Union Estepona CF Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Velez | Union Estepona CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 10 | 1 |
| Losses | 16 | 27 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Union Estepona CF vs Velez
0:2
Oct 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs Union Estepona CF
1:1
Feb 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs Union Estepona CF
3:1
Sep 30, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Union Estepona CF vs Velez
4:1
Apr 8, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs Union Estepona CF
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Velez 24 / 100
Union Estepona CF 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Velez Union Estepona CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Estepona CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union Estepona CF let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.
Union Estepona CF's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Velez's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Velez VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Velez
(Home) 05 May
UCAM Murcia
9 : 0 Velez
28 Apr
Velez
2 : 6 Marbella
21 Apr
Velez
0 : 1 Sevilla B
14 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 0 Velez
07 Apr
Velez
0 : 1 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
Page 1 of 7
28 Apr
Velez
2 : 6 Marbella
21 Apr
Velez
0 : 1 Sevilla B
07 Apr
Velez
0 : 1 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
24 Mar
Velez
0 : 3 Cadiz B
10 Mar
Velez
1 : 1 Manchego Ciudad Real
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Union Estepona CF
(Away) 11 May
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2 Melilla B
04 May
Maracena
2 : 0 Union Estepona CF
01 May
AD Huercal
2 : 0 Union Estepona CF
27 Apr
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2 Huetor Tajar
06 Apr
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2 Atarfe Industrial
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Maracena
2 : 0 Union Estepona CF
01 May
AD Huercal
2 : 0 Union Estepona CF
30 Mar
Malaga B
2 : 0 Union Estepona CF
16 Mar
Espanol Alquian
2 : 0 Union Estepona CF
02 Mar
Villacarrillo
2 : 0 Union Estepona CF
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Palo | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 72:36 | 74 |
| 2 | Mancha | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 50:27 | 72 |
| 3 | Granada CF B | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 73:35 | 72 |
| 4 | Malaga B | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 71:27 | 71 |
| 5 | Linares | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 52:30 | 70 |
| 6 | Villacarrillo | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 66:41 | 65 |
| 7 | Martos | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 52:45 | 64 |
| 8 | Velez | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 51:47 | 56 |
| 9 | Atarfe Industrial | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 58:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Maracena | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 47:49 | 51 |
| 11 | Marbella | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 52:53 | 49 |
| 12 | Melilla B | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 43:44 | 48 |
| 13 | UD San Pedro | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 50:45 | 47 |
| 14 | CD Ronda | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 53:56 | 45 |
| 15 | Union Estepona CF | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45:55 | 45 |
| 16 | Huetor Tajar | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44:67 | 41 |
| 17 | AD Huercal | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33:73 | 31 |
| 18 | Torremolinos | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 32:67 | 30 |
| 19 | Alhaurin | 38 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 30:80 | 23 |
| 20 | Comarca | 38 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 26:75 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
