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Vellmar vs Kassel

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Stark Y.
28' Event
Najjer N.
33' Event
Bonianga P.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Vellmar and Kassel finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kassel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vellmar
15%
Draws
51%
Kassel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kassel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kassel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kassel's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Vellmar Clean Sheet 16%
Kassel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vellmar Kassel
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.4 2.33
Goals Conceded 3 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2025 Club Friendly
Vellmar vs Kassel
0:4
Jan 28, 2020 Club Friendly
Vellmar vs Kassel
4:1
Jun 26, 2018 Club Friendly
Vellmar vs Kassel
0:6
Apr 17, 2006 Oberliga Hessen
Kassel vs Vellmar
1:0
Aug 24, 2005 Oberliga Hessen
Vellmar vs Kassel
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vellmar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Kassel Compare

Top Goalscorer Stark Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Najjer N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vellmar 19 / 100
Kassel 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vellmar Kassel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kassel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Vellmar scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Kassel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

Away concern: Kassel has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kassel
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vellmar

(Home)
04 Jul
Vellmar
0 : 4
Kassel
28 Jan
Vellmar
4 : 1
Kassel
26 Jun
Vellmar
0 : 6
Kassel
26 May
Vellmar
1 : 2
SpVgg Neu-Isenburg
12 May
Vellmar
1 : 1
Ederbergland
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Kassel

(Away)
16 Aug
Freiburg II
5 : 1
Kassel
08 Aug
Kassel
3 : 0
Eintracht Frankfurt II
01 Aug
Kassel
0 : 5
Schalke
25 Jul
Rodinghausen
2 : 1
Kassel
19 Jul
Kassel
4 : 1
Lippstadt
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