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Stadium Background

Vellmar vs Schwalmstadt

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2010/2011 game between Vellmar and Schwalmstadt finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Schwalmstadt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Vellmar
20%
Draws
16%
Schwalmstadt
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vellmar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Schwalmstadt haven't matched Vellmar's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Vellmar Clean Sheet 10%
Schwalmstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vellmar Schwalmstadt
Matches Played 45 32
Wins 15 2
Draws 8 4
Losses 22 26
Goals Scored 1.67 0.53
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2014 Oberliga Hessen
Vellmar vs Schwalmstadt
3:1
Aug 23, 2014 Oberliga Hessen
Schwalmstadt vs Vellmar
1:3
Apr 30, 2011 Oberliga Hessen
Vellmar vs Schwalmstadt
2:4
Oct 9, 2010 Oberliga Hessen
Schwalmstadt vs Vellmar
1:1
Nov 21, 2009 Oberliga Hessen
Schwalmstadt vs Vellmar
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vellmar 29 / 100
Schwalmstadt 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vellmar Schwalmstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vellmar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vellmar's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 45 recent games.

Defensive concern: Schwalmstadt conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Schwalmstadt has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vellmar VS Schwalmstadt
1.75 Goals Scored 0
3.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vellmar

(Home)
04 Jul
Vellmar
0 : 4
Kassel
28 Jan
Vellmar
4 : 1
Kassel
26 Jun
Vellmar
0 : 6
Kassel
26 May
Vellmar
1 : 2
SpVgg Neu-Isenburg
12 May
Vellmar
1 : 1
Ederbergland
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Schwalmstadt

(Away)
13 Sept
Schwalmstadt
0 : 0
Kassel
23 May
Schwalmstadt
0 : 1
Alzenau
16 May
Schwalmstadt
0 : 3
TSV Steinbach Haiger
09 May
Ederbergland
4 : 2
Schwalmstadt
02 May
Schwalmstadt
2 : 3
Flieden
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