Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vellmar vs Viktoria Griesheim

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2017/2018 game between Vellmar and Viktoria Griesheim finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vellmar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vellmar
30%
Draws
39%
Viktoria Griesheim
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Viktoria Griesheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Viktoria Griesheim haven't matched Vellmar's recent run of results.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Viktoria Griesheim taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Vellmar Clean Sheet 10%
Viktoria Griesheim Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vellmar Viktoria Griesheim
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.4 1.3
Goals Conceded 3 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2018 Oberliga Hessen
Vellmar vs Viktoria Griesheim
3:1
Aug 26, 2017 Oberliga Hessen
Viktoria Griesheim vs Vellmar
4:3
Nov 26, 2016 Oberliga Hessen
Viktoria Griesheim vs Vellmar
1:3
Jul 30, 2016 Oberliga Hessen
Vellmar vs Viktoria Griesheim
0:1
Feb 20, 2016 Oberliga Hessen
Vellmar vs Viktoria Griesheim
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vellmar 10 / 100
Viktoria Griesheim 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vellmar Viktoria Griesheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Viktoria Griesheim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Viktoria Griesheim conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Vellmar scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Vellmar stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vellmar VS Viktoria Griesheim
0 Goals Scored 0.75
4 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vellmar

(Home)
04 Jul
Vellmar
0 : 4
Kassel
28 Jan
Vellmar
4 : 1
Kassel
26 Jun
Vellmar
0 : 6
Kassel
26 May
Vellmar
1 : 2
SpVgg Neu-Isenburg
12 May
Vellmar
1 : 1
Ederbergland
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Viktoria Griesheim

(Away)
26 Jan
Alzenau
2 : 0
Viktoria Griesheim
08 Jun
Viktoria Griesheim
2 : 2
Bad Soden
05 Jun
Bad Soden
5 : 4
Viktoria Griesheim
01 Jun
Viktoria Griesheim
2 : 1
Waldgirmes
26 May
RW Walldorf
0 : 0
Viktoria Griesheim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hessen Dreieich 32 23 3 6 88:29 72
2 Alzenau 32 19 9 4 89:39 66
3 Fulda-Lehnerz 32 19 9 4 82:41 66
4 Giessen 32 19 6 7 96:37 63
5 Waldgirmes 32 17 6 9 58:42 57
6 Hadamar 32 14 10 8 79:50 52
7 Fulda 32 15 7 10 63:38 52
8 Ginsheim 32 13 7 12 53:51 46
9 Lohfelden 32 13 5 14 52:55 44
10 Baunatal 32 13 5 14 59:52 44
11 SpVgg Neu-Isenburg 32 10 9 13 41:56 39
12 Flieden 32 12 1 19 48:71 37
13 Ederbergland 32 9 7 16 37:73 34
14 Viktoria Griesheim 32 7 6 19 45:89 27
15 RW Frankfurt 32 7 5 20 46:85 26
16 Vellmar 32 6 5 21 41:95 23
17 SV Steinbach 32 3 6 23 39:113 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2018/2019 (Main)