Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vellmar vs Wurges

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Vellmar
15%
Draws
59%
Wurges
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wurges

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vellmar lately — more wins on the board than Wurges.
  • Model gives Wurges a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Vellmar Clean Sheet 10%
Wurges Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vellmar Wurges
Matches Played 48 35
Wins 19 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 1.79 1.54
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2011 Oberliga Hessen
Wurges vs Vellmar
2:1
Oct 23, 2010 Oberliga Hessen
Vellmar vs Wurges
3:0
Mar 13, 2010 Oberliga Hessen
Vellmar vs Wurges
1:1
Aug 29, 2009 Oberliga Hessen
Wurges vs Vellmar
3:0
May 23, 2009 Oberliga Hessen
Wurges vs Vellmar
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vellmar 10 / 100
Wurges 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vellmar Wurges

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wurges Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vellmar scored in 81% of their last 48 outings.

Wurges has conceded goals in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Vellmar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vellmar VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
3.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vellmar

(Home)
04 Jul
Vellmar
0 : 4
Kassel
28 Jan
Vellmar
4 : 1
Kassel
26 Jun
Vellmar
0 : 6
Kassel
26 May
Vellmar
1 : 2
SpVgg Neu-Isenburg
12 May
Vellmar
1 : 1
Ederbergland
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Wurges

(Away)
28 May
FCA Darmstadt
0 : 1
Wurges
21 May
Wurges
3 : 1
Hunfelder
14 May
Wurges
2 : 1
Vellmar
07 May
Schwalmstadt
2 : 1
Wurges
29 Apr
Wurges
0 : 2
Waldgirmes
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