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Velvary vs Banik Most-Sous

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. CFL - Group B 2025/2026 Football pitch Velvary
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Velvary play Banik Most-Sous in the 3. CFL - Group B 2025/2026. Banik Most-Sous are favorites here. Recently, Velvary averaged 1.55 goals scored and 2.48 conceded. Banik Most-Sous averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Velvary won 3, Banik Most-Sous won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 6, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Velvary and 1.00 for Banik Most-Sous. This points to a Banik Most-Sous double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Velvary
25%
Draws
60%
Banik Most-Sous
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Banik Most-Sous

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Velvary picked up more points recently compared to Banik Most-Sous.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Velvary Clean Sheet 23%
Banik Most-Sous Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velvary Banik Most-Sous
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 17
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Velvary vs Banik Most-Sous
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 3. CFL - Group B
Banik Most-Sous vs Velvary
2:3
May 18, 2024 3. CFL - Group B
Velvary vs Banik Most-Sous
2:0
Jan 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Banik Most-Sous vs Velvary
3:0
Oct 21, 2023 3. CFL - Group B
Banik Most-Sous vs Velvary
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velvary 18 / 100
Banik Most-Sous 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velvary Banik Most-Sous

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Banik Most-Sous Win (2)
Secondary Pick Banik Most-Sous & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Velvary attacking → ← attacking Banik Most-Sous

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velvary scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Banik Most-Sous let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Velvary went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Banik Most-Sous lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 56
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FK Ceska Lipa32291286:2488
2Zapy32235472:2774
3Banik Most-Sous32204860:3464
4Hradec Kralove B32194970:4761
5Teplice B321481046:4250
6Benatky n. Jiz.321281259:5444
7Pardubice B321271369:5743
8Jablonec B321161549:6239
9Mlada Boleslav B321081439:5038
10Liberec B321071572:6437
11Varnsdorf321071546:6537
12Neratovice32991444:6636
13Brozany328101438:5834
14Velke Hamry327101545:5731
15Usti nad Orlici327101535:5531
16Velvary32742146:8225
17Kolin324121636:6824