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Velvary vs Karlovy Vary - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group B Football pitch Velvary, Velvary
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Group B game between Velvary and Karlovy Vary finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Velvary.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Velvary
15%
Draws
57%
Karlovy Vary
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karlovy Vary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Karlovy Vary come out ahead of Velvary on wins alone.
  • Model gives Karlovy Vary a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Velvary here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Velvary Clean Sheet 10%
Karlovy Vary Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velvary Karlovy Vary
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.46 2.14
Goals Conceded 2.18 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 4. liga - Group B
Velvary vs Karlovy Vary
2:1
Jun 9, 2019 CFL
Karlovy Vary vs Velvary
3:4
Nov 10, 2018 CFL
Velvary vs Karlovy Vary
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velvary 14 / 100
Karlovy Vary 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velvary Karlovy Vary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlovy Vary Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlovy Vary's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Velvary scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Karlovy Vary lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Velvary VS Karlovy Vary
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Velvary

(Home)
03 Oct
Ujezd Prague
2 : 1
Velvary
26 Sept
Velvary
0 : 2
Brandys nad Labem
20 Sept
Hostoun
5 : 1
Velvary
12 Sept
Velvary
2 : 1
Tempo Prague
06 Sept
Ostrov
3 : 1
Velvary
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Karlovy Vary

(Away)
03 Oct
Karlovy Vary
2 : 3
Meteor Prague
25 Sept
Chomutov
1 : 0
Karlovy Vary
18 Sept
Karlovy Vary
2 : 0
Sokolov
12 Sept
Psary
1 : 2
Karlovy Vary
05 Sept
Karlovy Vary
3 : 4
Vysehrad
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