Sport Picks
Venados FC vs Club Atletico Morelia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero, Mérida 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Venados FC have averaged 1.86 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Club Atletico Morelia's 1.45 scored and 1.24 conceded. Head-to-head, Venados FC have won 2 to Club Atletico Morelia's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.63) back Club Atletico Morelia to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Club Atletico Morelia have won more games recently than Venados FC.
- Model gives Venados FC a 42% chance of winning this.
- Club Atletico Morelia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Venados FC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Venados FC | Club Atletico Morelia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Venados FC scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Solid form: Venados FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Club Atletico Morelia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
