Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Venados FC vs Correcaminos

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Pinuelas J.
50' Event
Gomez Del Rosal N.
Assist: Uribe H.
55'
Ramirez S.

AI Match Summary

Venados FC play Correcaminos in the Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Venados FC averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Correcaminos averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Venados FC won 2, Correcaminos won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Venados FC and 1.38 for Correcaminos. This points to a Venados FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Venados FC
6%
Draws
4%
Correcaminos
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Venados FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Venados FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Correcaminos.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Venados FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Venados FC Clean Sheet 17%
Correcaminos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venados FC Correcaminos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Venados FC vs Correcaminos
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Venados FC
3:6
Mar 21, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Venados FC
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Venados FC vs Correcaminos
5:1
Mar 24, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Venados FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venados FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Correcaminos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez Del Rosal N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venados FC 84 / 100
Correcaminos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venados FC Correcaminos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venados FC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Correcaminos let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Venados FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Correcaminos lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Venados FC VS Correcaminos
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tepatitlan de Morelos1475221:1026
2Cancun1474324:1725
3Club Atletico Morelia1472518:1223
4Atletico La Paz1457222:1222
5Jaiba Brava1463515:1521
6Zacatecas Mineros1463519:2021
7Tapatio1462628:2420
8Atlante1455421:1720
9Irapuato1462627:2420
10Tlaxcala1455416:1720
11Venados FC1444625:2516
12Alebrijes de Oaxaca1444620:2916
13Dorados de Sinaloa1434717:2813
14Correcaminos1433814:2712
15Leones Negros1425715:2511