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Venda vs Baroka Prediction & H2H Stats

South Africa South Africa

Motsepe Foundation Championship 2025/2026
Venda Logo

Venda

0 - 0
FT
Baroka Logo

Baroka

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Motsepe Foundation Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Venda
30%
Draws
47%
Baroka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Baroka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Baroka haven't matched Venda's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Venda's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Venda Clean Sheet 68%
Baroka Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venda Baroka
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.83 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Venda vs Baroka
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Baroka vs Venda
0:1
Feb 1, 2025 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Venda vs Baroka
5:1
Dec 7, 2024 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Baroka vs Venda
4:2
Mar 10, 2024 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Baroka vs Venda
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venda 50 / 100
Baroka 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venda Baroka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baroka let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Venda scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Baroka's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Venda VS Baroka
1 Goals Scored 0.17
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 17%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Venda

(Home)
18 Sept
Real Native
2 : 0
Venda
12 Sept
Venda
2 : 3
Upington City
05 Sept
Venda
0 : 2
Pretoria U.
29 Aug
Gomora United
1 : 0
Venda
21 Aug
Venda
1 : 1
Lerumo Lions
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Baroka

(Away)
17 May
Baroka
0 : 0
Upington City
10 May
Cape Town City
1 : 0
Baroka
01 May
Real Native
2 : 0
Baroka
26 Apr
Baroka
0 : 3
Kruger United
22 Apr
Baroka
1 : 1
Gomora United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kruger United 30 18 8 4 50:34 62
2 Cape Town City 30 15 9 6 45:23 54
3 Milford 30 16 6 8 40:24 54
4 Real Native 30 14 10 6 46:27 52
5 Hungry Lions 30 14 10 6 41:25 52
6 Highbury 30 12 6 12 30:33 42
7 Upington City 30 10 9 11 35:33 39
8 Lerumo Lions 30 10 9 11 36:36 39
9 Venda 30 9 9 12 24:29 36
10 The Bees 30 9 8 13 37:36 35
11 Pretoria U. 30 8 11 11 37:41 35
12 Leicesterford City 30 9 7 14 25:43 34
13 Gomora United 30 6 15 9 28:39 33
14 Midlands Wanderers 30 8 9 13 28:44 33
15 Black Leopards 30 6 10 14 26:38 28
16 Baroka 30 4 8 18 20:43 20
Promotion - Betway Premiership (Main)
Promotion - Betway Premiership 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)