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Venda vs Free State Stars

South Africa South Africa

GladAfrica Championship 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Seseane A.
62' Event
Chivaviro R.
(Penalty)
67'
Mkhabela K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this GladAfrica Championship 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Venda
35%
Draws
56%
Free State Stars
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Free State Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Free State Stars lately — more wins on the board than Venda.
  • Free State Stars are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this GladAfrica Championship 2021/2022 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Venda Clean Sheet 19%
Free State Stars Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venda Free State Stars
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.81 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2022 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Venda vs Free State Stars
1:1
Sep 11, 2021 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Free State Stars vs Venda
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Free State Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Seseane A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venda 16 / 100
Free State Stars 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venda Free State Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Free State Stars Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venda found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Free State Stars has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Venda has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Venda VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Venda

(Home)
18 Sept
Real Native
2 : 0
Venda
12 Sept
Venda
2 : 3
Upington City
05 Sept
Venda
0 : 2
Pretoria U.
29 Aug
Gomora United
1 : 0
Venda
21 Aug
Venda
1 : 1
Lerumo Lions
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Free State Stars

(Away)
15 May
Venda
1 : 1
Free State Stars
08 May
Free State Stars
2 : 1
Polokwane City
29 Apr
Platinum City
2 : 2
Free State Stars
23 Apr
Free State Stars
0 : 1
Black Leopards
16 Apr
JDR Stars
0 : 0
Free State Stars
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Richards Bay 30 14 12 4 39:22 54
2 Pretoria U. 30 13 13 4 40:26 52
3 Cape Town All Stars 30 12 12 6 37:26 48
4 JDR Stars 30 12 9 9 32:28 45
5 Venda 30 10 14 6 26:24 44
6 Polokwane City 30 11 8 11 42:37 41
7 Free State Stars 30 10 11 9 26:24 41
8 Uthongathi 30 8 15 7 27:25 39
9 Black Leopards 30 10 9 11 30:29 39
10 Platinum City 30 10 8 12 30:46 38
11 Hungry Lions 30 8 12 10 27:27 36
12 Pretoria Callies 30 10 5 15 33:32 35
13 Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 30 9 7 14 26:45 34
14 Cape Town Spurs 30 6 15 9 27:32 33
15 Jomo Cosmos 30 5 13 12 27:34 28
16 TS Sporting 30 7 7 16 22:34 28
Promotion - Premier League 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)