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Venezia vs Juve Stabia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Giorgini A.
39' Event
Giorgini A.
Own Goal
45' Event
Carissoni L.

AI Match Summary

Venezia in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Venezia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Venezia
30%
Draws
70%
Juve Stabia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Juve Stabia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Venezia have won more games recently than Juve Stabia.
  • Model gives Juve Stabia a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Venezia Clean Sheet 15%
Juve Stabia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venezia Juve Stabia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.17 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Serie B
Venezia vs Juve Stabia
3:1
Aug 30, 2025 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Venezia
0:0
Jul 24, 2020 Serie B
Venezia vs Juve Stabia
1:0
Dec 21, 2019 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Venezia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Adorante A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Juve Stabia Compare

Top Goalscorer Carissoni L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venezia 15 / 100
Juve Stabia 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venezia Juve Stabia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juve Stabia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venezia found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Juve Stabia conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Juve Stabia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Venezia VS Juve Stabia
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Venezia

(Home)
19 Sept
Venezia
0 : 2
Lazio
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4
Fiorentina
06 Sept
Frosinone
3 : 2
Venezia
02 Sept
Udinese
2 : 1
Venezia
28 Aug
AC Milan
2 : 0
Venezia
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Juve Stabia

(Away)
03 Oct
Lazio
3 : 3
Juve Stabia
01 Oct
Juve Stabia
4 : 1
Palmese 1914
18 Sept
Juve Stabia
1 : 1
Cesena
12 Sept
Vicenza
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
06 Sept
Juve Stabia
0 : 3
Pisa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)