Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Venezia vs Reggiana

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Haps R.
Assist: Doumbia I.
39'
Haps R.
61'
Sub
Bonetti S. In: Lambourde M.
Out: Bonetti S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Venezia and Reggiana finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Venezia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Venezia
20%
Draws
51%
Reggiana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Reggiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Reggiana haven't matched Venezia's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Venezia Clean Sheet 20%
Reggiana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venezia Reggiana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.41 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Serie B
Venezia vs Reggiana
2:0
Jan 10, 2026 Serie B
Reggiana vs Venezia
1:3
Apr 1, 2024 Serie B
Venezia vs Reggiana
2:3
Oct 22, 2023 Serie B
Reggiana vs Venezia
1:0
Mar 1, 2021 Serie B
Venezia vs Reggiana
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Haps R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doumbia I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Reggiana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venezia 36 / 100
Reggiana 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venezia Reggiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reggiana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Venezia scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Reggiana let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Venezia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Venezia VS Reggiana
3.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.14
100% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 43%
63% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Venezia

(Home)
02 Sept
Udinese
2 : 1
Venezia
28 Aug
AC Milan
2 : 0
Venezia
23 Aug
Venezia
0 : 2
Lecce
15 Aug
Venezia
3 : 2
Modena
08 Aug
Brest
2 : 2
Venezia
Page 1 of 6

Reggiana

(Away)
30 Aug
Gubbio
1 : 2
Reggiana
24 Aug
Reggiana
1 : 1
Ravenna
15 Aug
Livorno
3 : 1
Reggiana
08 May
Reggiana
1 : 0
Sampdoria
01 May
Modena
2 : 1
Reggiana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)