Sport Picks

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Venezuela U20 vs Paraguay U20

South America South America

South American Championship U20
Fri, Jan 31, 2025
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Venezuela U20 host Paraguay U20 in the South American Championship U20. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Venezuela U20 at 0.84 goals for, 1.48 against; Paraguay U20 at 1.29 for, 1.71 against. Head-to-head, Venezuela U20 have won 0 to Paraguay U20's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.35, favoring Paraguay U20. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Venezuela U20
15%
Draws
57%
Paraguay U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paraguay U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paraguay U20 lately — more wins on the board than Venezuela U20.
  • Venezuela U20 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Venezuela U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Paraguay U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venezuela U20 Paraguay U20
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.84 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2025 South American Championship U20
Venezuela U20 vs Paraguay U20
0:0
Jan 29, 2025 South American Championship U20
Paraguay U20 vs Venezuela U20
1:0
Oct 16, 2024 Friendly International
Paraguay U20 vs Venezuela U20
1:1
Oct 14, 2024 Friendly International
Paraguay U20 vs Venezuela U20
3:0
Jan 31, 2023 South American Championship U20
Paraguay U20 vs Venezuela U20
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venezuela U20 41 / 100
Paraguay U20 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venezuela U20 Paraguay U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraguay U20 let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Paraguay U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Venezuela U20 scored in 56% of their last 25 games.

Scoring Trends

Venezuela U20 VS Paraguay U20
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.5
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Venezuela U20

(Home)
11 Jun
Venezuela U20
0 : 1
Japan U20
08 Jun
Venezuela U20
1 : 3
Portugal U20
03 Jun
Ivory Coast U20
3 : 1
Venezuela U20
01 Jun
Venezuela U20
0 : 2
Canada U20
27 Jul
Venezuela U20
2 : 1
Chile U20
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Paraguay U20

(Away)
27 Aug
Uruguay U20
2 : 3
Paraguay U20
25 Aug
Uruguay U20
0 : 2
Paraguay U20
31 Mar
Brazil U20
3 : 1
Paraguay U20
28 Mar
Brazil U20
3 : 1
Paraguay U20
08 Oct
Paraguay U20
0 : 1
Norway U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruguay U20 4 3 0 1 10:2 9
2 Paraguay U20 4 3 0 1 5:8 9
3 Chile U20 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
4 Venezuela U20 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
5 Peru U20 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Argentina U20 4 2 2 0 8:1 8
3 Brazil U20 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
4 Ecuador U20 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
5 Bolivia U20 4 0 0 4 4:8 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)