Sport Picks

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Venezuela vs Colombia

World World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Monumental de Maturín, Maturín
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Segovia T.
Assist: Rondon S.
10' Event
Mina Y.
Assist: Rodriguez J.
12' Event
Martinez J.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Venezuela and Colombia finished 3-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colombia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Venezuela
15%
Draws
53%
Colombia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colombia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Colombia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Colombia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Venezuela Clean Sheet 20%
Colombia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venezuela Colombia
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.01 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 World Championship
Venezuela vs Colombia
3:6
Dec 10, 2023 Friendly International
Colombia vs Venezuela
1:0
Sep 7, 2023 World Championship
Colombia vs Venezuela
1:0
Mar 29, 2022 World Championship
Venezuela vs Colombia
0:1
Jun 17, 2021 Copa América
Colombia vs Venezuela
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venezuela Compare

Top Goalscorer Segovia T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Colombia Compare

Top Goalscorer Suarez L.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Mina Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venezuela 36 / 100
Colombia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venezuela Colombia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venezuela found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Colombia let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Venezuela went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Venezuela VS Colombia
1.14 Goals Scored 1.5
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Venezuela

(Home)
10 Jun
Iraq
0 : 2
Venezuela
06 Jun
Venezuela
1 : 2
Turkey
30 Mar
Uzbekistan
1 : 0
Venezuela
27 Mar
Venezuela
4 : 1
Trinidad & Tobago
19 Nov
Canada
2 : 0
Venezuela
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Colombia

(Away)
07 Jul
Switzerland
1 : 0
Colombia
04 Jul
Colombia
1 : 0
Ghana
27 Jun
Colombia
0 : 0
Portugal
24 Jun
Colombia
1 : 0
D.R. Congo
18 Jun
Uzbekistan
1 : 3
Colombia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina 18 12 2 4 31:10 38
2 Ecuador 18 8 8 2 14:5 29
3 Colombia 18 7 7 4 28:18 28
4 Uruguay 18 7 7 4 22:12 28
5 Brazil 18 8 4 6 24:17 28
6 Paraguay 18 7 7 4 14:10 28
7 Bolivia 18 6 2 10 17:35 20
8 Venezuela 18 4 6 8 18:28 18
9 Peru 18 2 6 10 6:21 12
10 Chile 18 2 5 11 9:27 11
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)