Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Venezuela vs Peru

World World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Monumental de Maturín, Maturín
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Zambrano C.
19'
Aquino P.
41' Event
Rondon S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Venezuela in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Venezuela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Venezuela
15%
Draws
46%
Peru
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Peru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Venezuela have won more games recently than Peru.
  • Venezuela are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Venezuela Clean Sheet 68%
Peru Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venezuela Peru
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.14 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2025 World Championship
Venezuela vs Peru
1:0
Nov 22, 2023 World Championship
Peru vs Venezuela
1:1
Nov 16, 2021 World Championship
Venezuela vs Peru
1:2
Sep 6, 2021 World Championship
Peru vs Venezuela
1:0
Jun 27, 2021 Copa América
Venezuela vs Peru
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venezuela 68 / 100
Peru 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venezuela Peru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venezuela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venezuela's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Peru's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Venezuela stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Venezuela VS Peru
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Venezuela

(Home)
10 Jun
Iraq
0 : 2
Venezuela
06 Jun
Venezuela
1 : 2
Turkey
30 Mar
Uzbekistan
1 : 0
Venezuela
27 Mar
Venezuela
4 : 1
Trinidad & Tobago
19 Nov
Canada
2 : 0
Venezuela
Page 1 of 6

Peru

(Away)
09 Jun
Peru
1 : 3
Spain
06 Jun
Haiti
1 : 2
Peru
31 Mar
Peru
2 : 2
Honduras
28 Mar
Senegal
2 : 0
Peru
21 Dec
Peru
2 : 0
Bolivia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina 18 12 2 4 31:10 38
2 Ecuador 18 8 8 2 14:5 29
3 Colombia 18 7 7 4 28:18 28
4 Uruguay 18 7 7 4 22:12 28
5 Brazil 18 8 4 6 24:17 28
6 Paraguay 18 7 7 4 14:10 28
7 Bolivia 18 6 2 10 17:35 20
8 Venezuela 18 4 6 8 18:28 18
9 Peru 18 2 6 10 6:21 12
10 Chile 18 2 5 11 9:27 11
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)